Olympia Yerevan v Noah II prediction · First League

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 15:45

Olympia Yerevan 4–1 Noah II OLYMPIA YEREVAN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Olympia Yerevan win~~69%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.144

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

Olympia Yerevan win69%

Draw17%

Noah II win14%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Olympia Yerevan

Noah II

28Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Olympia Yerevan	7	+13	19
12	Noah II	8	−12	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympia yerevan winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 12:01 · locked at kick-off

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Olympia Yerevan a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olympia Yerevan win	69%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Noah II win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Olympia Yerevan or draw	86%	–	–
Olympia Yerevan clean sheet	38%	–	–
Noah II clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.1%

0123450 3.3 3.5 1 7.9 7.4 3.8 2 9.1 8.6 4.4 3 7.5 6.9 3.5 4 4.9 4.4 2.2 5 2.8 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympia Yerevan down, Noah II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 956 First League matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.2% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Olympia Yerevan at home: 2.50 scored, 0.25 conceded a game (last 4). Noah II away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.56 goals for Olympia Yerevan, 0.99 for Noah II. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in First League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in First League

OLYMPIA YEREVAN

DWWWWW3–3 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

NOAH II

LWDDLL0–7 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Andranik	10	+16	22
2	Olympia Yerevan	7	+13	19
3	BKMA II	8	+10	16
4	Bentonit Ijevan	8	+9	15
5	Araks Ararat	7	+4	12
6	Lernayin Artsakh	8	+1	12
7	Mika	9	−2	11
8	Pyunik II	9	−2	11
9	Shirak II	7	−5	10
10	Ararat II	7	0	9
11	Banants II	8	−6	8
12	Noah II	8	−12	6
13	Ararat-Armenia II	8	−8	5
14	Sardarapat 2	8	−12	3
15	Hayq	2	−6	0