BKMA II v Hayq prediction · First League

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 17:02 · no result reported, not graded

BKMA II win53%

Draw23%

Hayq win24%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

BKMA II

Hayq

21Days since last match40

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	BKMA II	8	+10	16
15	Hayq	2	−6	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bkma ii winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 17:02 · no result reported, not graded

53% The market–

Us53%

We make BKMA II a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BKMA II win	53%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Hayq win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
BKMA II or draw	76%	–	–
BKMA II clean sheet	35%	–	–
Hayq clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.7%

0123450 6.5 6.8 3.5 1 10.7 10.5 5.7 2.2 2 8.9 9.1 4.9 3 5.2 5.4 2.9 4 2.4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BKMA II down, Hayq across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 955 First League matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.6% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

BKMA II at home: 2.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hayq away: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for BKMA II, 1.08 for Hayq. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BKM 0–1 HAY · HAY 3–2 BKM

Form · last six in First League

BKMA II

WLWWLD3–1 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 1–4 · 0–0

HAYQ

WWWWLL4–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 0–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Andranik	9	+15	19
2	Olympia Yerevan	7	+13	19
3	BKMA II	8	+10	16
4	Bentonit Ijevan	8	+9	15
5	Araks Ararat	7	+4	12
6	Lernayin Artsakh	8	+1	12
7	Mika	8	−1	11
8	Pyunik II	9	−2	11
9	Shirak II	7	−5	10
10	Ararat II	7	0	9
11	Banants II	8	−6	8
12	Noah II	8	−12	6
13	Ararat-Armenia II	8	−8	5
14	Sardarapat 2	8	−12	3
15	Hayq	2	−6	0