Banants II v Andranik prediction · First League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 19:27

Banants II 1–2 Andranik ANDRANIK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Andranik win~~66%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.169

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Andranik are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Banants II 17%, draw 17%, Andranik 66%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Banants II v AndranikBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Banants II win17%

Draw17%

Andranik win66%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Banants II

Andranik

5Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · First League (Armenia)

Last match: 12 Oct · First League (Armenia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Andranik	9	+13	19
11	Banants II	9	−8	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · andranik winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Andranik a 66% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.6, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Banants II v Andranik~~1.15 – 2.62

~~Form · last six in First League this season · since 19 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 19~~11 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Andranik win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Banants II win	17%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Andranik win	66%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Banants II or draw	34%	–	–
Banants II clean sheet	9%	–	–
Andranik clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.4%

0123450 2.7 6.5 7.6 6.4 4.4 2.61 3.4 7.1 8.4 6.9 4.5 2.62 4.3 4.9 3.9 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Banants II down, Andranik across0–5 goals a side shown (92.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 961 First League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Banants II at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Andranik away: 3.50 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Banants II, 2.62 for Andranik. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~AND 4–2 BAN · BAN 2–4 AND · AND 2–1 BAN · BAN 3–0 AND

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First League this season · since 19 Aug

BANANTS II

WLDDDL3–2 · 0–5 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

ANDRANIK

DWWLWW0–0 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Olympia Yerevan	8	+16	22
2	Andranik	9	+13	19
3	BKMA II	9	+11	19
4	Bentonit Ijevan	8	+9	15
5	Araks Ararat	8	+6	15
6	Lernayin Artsakh	9	−3	12
7	Pyunik II	9	−2	11
8	Mika	9	−2	11
9	Shirak II	8	−6	10
10	Ararat II	7	+1	9
11	Banants II	9	−8	8
12	Noah II	9	−15	6
13	Sardarapat 2	9	−10	6
14	Ararat-Armenia II	9	−10	5