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Model 1.1

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Andranik v Mika

Andranik
2–1Full time
Mika

First League · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 15:31
Andranik 2–1 Mika ANDRANIK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Andranik win80%
The market said77%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.060
The market’s Brier score0.081

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 15:02 · locked at kick-off

Andranik win80%
Draw12%
Mika win8%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Andranik

Mika

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Andranik9+1519
7Mika8−111

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · andranik winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off
80% The market77%
Us80%
Market77%

We make Andranik a 80% chance to win. The market has them at 77%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.2–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85% 9 OCT 06:1711 OCT 17:25
Our probability · andranik win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Andranik win80%77%+3
Draw12%14%−2
Mika win8%9%−1
Over 2.5 goals76%71%+5
Both teams to score56%56%0
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals57%50%+7
Andranik or draw92%91%+1
Andranik clean sheet41%––
Mika clean sheet5%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.6%
0123450 1 5.9 5.1 2.4 2 8.5 7.5 3.4 3 8.6 7.5 3.4 4 6.8 5.8 2.6 5 4.4 3.8
under 2% 5% 12%+Andranik down, Mika across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.83
Over 2.55 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsMIK 2–5 AND · AND 1–1 MIK · AND 2–2 MIK · MIK 2–1 AND

Form · last six in First League

ANDRANIK

LDWWLW1–4 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 4–1

MIKA

LWDDLW1–3 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Andranik9+1519
2Olympia Yerevan7+1319
3BKMA II8+1016
4Bentonit Ijevan8+915
5Araks Ararat7+412
6Lernayin Artsakh8+112
7Mika8−111
8Pyunik II9−211
9Shirak II7−510
10Ararat II709
11Banants II8−68
12Noah II8−126
13Ararat-Armenia II8−85
14Sardarapat 28−123
15Hayq2−60

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-12 14:02 UTC.