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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Lernayin Artsakh v Shirak

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Lernayin Artsakh v Shirak

Lernayin Artsakh
11:00Upcoming
Shirak

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Lernayin ArtsakhDrawShirak
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Shirak 72%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Shirak are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lernayin Artsakh 10%, draw 18%, Shirak 72%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Lernayin Artsakh v ShirakBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Lernayin Artsakh win10%
Draw18%
Shirak win72%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 11:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lernayin Artsakh

Shirak

8Days since last match4

Last match: 20 Oct · First League (Armenia)

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shirak winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
72% The market–
Us72%

We make Shirak a 72% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lernayin Artsakh v Shirak0.75 – 2.30

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lernayin Artsakh win10%––
Draw18%––
Shirak win72%––
Over 2.5 goals59%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Lernayin Artsakh or draw28%––
Lernayin Artsakh clean sheet10%––
Shirak clean sheet47%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.5%
0123450 5.0 10.6 12.5 9.6 5.5 2.51 3.3 8.5 9.4 7.2 4.1 2 3.1 3.5 2.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lernayin Artsakh down, Shirak across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.25
Over 2.52 of 8
Both scored1 of 8
Last meetingsLER 0–1 SHI · SHI 1–0 LER · LER 0–0 SHI · SHI 1–2 LER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 26 Aug

LERNAYIN ARTSAKH

W5–0

SHIRAK

No matches in our record yet.