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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Alashkert v BKMA

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Alashkert v BKMA

Alashkert
14:00Upcoming
BKMA

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AlashkertDrawBKMA
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Alashkert 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Alashkert are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Alashkert 65%, draw 20%, BKMA 14%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Alashkert v BKMABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Alashkert win65%
Draw20%
BKMA win14%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Alashkert

BKMA

4Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Armenia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · alashkert winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Alashkert a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Alashkert v BKMA2.02 – 0.79

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Alashkert win65%––
Draw20%––
BKMA win14%––
Over 2.5 goals53%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals31%––
Alashkert or draw86%––
Alashkert clean sheet46%––
BKMA clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.3%
0123450 6.5 5.1 2.0 1 12.3 9.5 3.8 2 12.0 9.2 3.7 3 8.0 6.1 2.4 4 4.2 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Alashkert down, BKMA across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored2 of 10
Last meetingsALA 3–0 BKM · BKM 2–2 ALA · ALA 2–0 BKM · BKM 1–3 ALA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

ALASHKERT

No matches in our record yet.

BKMA

No matches in our record yet.