Sportivo Las Parejas v Defensores de Belgrano VR prediction · Torneo Federal A

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 22:30

Sportivo Las Parejas 1–1 Defensores de Belgrano VR SPORTIVO LAS PAREJAS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sportivo Las Parejas win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.735

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sportivo Las Parejas win at 47%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Sportivo Las Parejas 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–31–22
23′Sportivo Las Parejas find the net on 11′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–5
44′We said Sportivo Las Parejas at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
45′alexander ponce scores for Defensores de Belgrano VR on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–48–18
45′We said Sportivo Las Parejas at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–48–18
66′alexander ponce scores for Defensores de Belgrano VR on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–64–13
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Sportivo Las Parejas 1–1 Defensores de Belgrano VR
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
78′We said Sportivo Las Parejas at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–8
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 34% now
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Sportivo Las Parejas win: 47% at kick-off, 23% now
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Sportivo Las Parejas
FTFULL TIME Sportivo Las Parejas 1–1 Defensores de Belgrano VR
FTSportivo Las Parejas 1–1 Defensores de Belgrano VR · Sportivo Las Parejas win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sportivo Las Parejas win47%

Draw32%

Defensores de Belgrano VR win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 20:00

VenueEstadio La Perrera

Line-ups

Sportivo Las Parejas

Defensores de Belgrano VR

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sportivo Las Parejas

Defensores de Belgrano VR

22Days since last match7

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Defensores de Belgrano VR	28	+5	41
14	Sportivo Las Parejas	26	+4	36

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Sportivo Las Parejas

Formation not confirmed

1 F. San Juan

2 M. Fissore

9 I. Gonzalez

8 A. Maciel

7 A. Martinez

10 L. Rolon

6 A. Schmidt

11 G. Schonfeld

4 J. Taverna

5 J. Valenzuela

3 A. Zanoni

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · J. Godoy

13 · E. Suarez

14 · M. Irribarria

15 · N. Villagra

16 · A. Galeano

17 · F. Astrada

18 · A. Martinez Retamar

Defensores de Belgrano VR

Formation not confirmed

1 K. Vizgarra

4 A. Ponce

2 J. Avalos

6 F. Gay

3 F. Pezzani

8 J. Cartechini

5 T. Bacas

10 L. Principiano

11 J. Bertacin

7 E. Luna

9 E. Roige

Coach · –

Our number · sportivo las parejas winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Sportivo Las Parejas a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sportivo Las Parejas win	47%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Defensores de Belgrano VR win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	29%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	56%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
Sportivo Las Parejas or draw	78%	–	–
Sportivo Las Parejas clean sheet	50%	–	–
Defensores de Belgrano VR clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.6%

0123450 16.0 10.4 3.8 1 17.6 12.8 4.3 2 10.6 7.3 2.5 3 4.2 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sportivo Las Parejas down, Defensores de Belgrano VR across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,178 Torneo Federal A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Torneo Federal A matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.9% of games this season, across 472 played.

Head to head

16 previous meetings, 2.06 goals a meeting; 5 of 16 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sportivo Las Parejas at home: 0.83 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Defensores de Belgrano VR away: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Sportivo Las Parejas, 0.70 for Defensores de Belgrano VR. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

16 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.06

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 16

~~Both scored~~8 of 16

~~Last meetings~~SPO 1–1 DEF · DEF 2–0 SPO · SPO 2–3 DEF · DEF 0–2 SPO

Form · last six in Torneo Federal A

SPORTIVO LAS PAREJAS

DDLWWW0–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 1–0

DEFENSORES DE BELGRANO VR

LLWWDL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	San Martin Formosa	26	+16	51
2	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	26	+14	50
3	Alvarado	26	+19	46
4	Douglas Haig	26	+12	43
5	Cipolletti	26	+11	43
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	29	+7	43
7	Sol de América	26	+3	43
8	Defensores de Belgrano VR	28	+5	41
9	Kimberley Mar del Plata	25	+9	40
10	Argentino Monte Maíz	25	+6	37
11	9 de Julio Rafaela	26	+4	37
12	Atenas	26	0	37
13	Fundacion Amigos	25	+6	36
14	Sportivo Las Parejas	26	+4	36
15	Sportivo Belgrano	26	+1	35
16	San Martín Mendoza	26	−3	35
17	Costa Brava	25	+3	34
18	Deportivo Rincon	26	+2	34
19	Villa Mitre	24	+7	33
20	Boca Unidos	24	+1	33
21	Atletico Escobar	26	−13	33
22	Defensores de Vilelas	25	−2	32
23	El Linqueño	26	−3	32
24	Gimnasia Concepción	26	+1	31
25	Juventud Unida Univ.	25	+1	31
26	Bartolomé Mitre	24	−1	31
27	Independiente De Chivilcoy	26	−4	31
28	Germinal de Rawson	25	−4	31
29	Juventud Antoniana	25	0	30
30	Sarmiento de La Banda	24	−6	30
31	Huracan Las Heras	25	−10	30
32	Guillermo Brown	25	−8	28
33	Circulo Deportivo	26	−9	25
34	Sol de Mayo	26	−11	25
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	24	−22	21
36	Tucuman Central	24	−18	19
37	Santamarina	25	−18	19