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Sol de América v Juventud Unida Univ.

Sol de América
2–2Full time
Juventud Unida Univ.

Torneo Federal A · SAT 17 OCT · Estadio Antonio Romero

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51
Sol de América 2–2 Juventud Unida Univ. SOL DE AMÉRICA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGUNDER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sol de América win46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.684

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sol de América win at 46%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sol de América 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–34–20
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sol de América v Juventud Unida Univ.
  4. 2′We said Sol de América at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–5
  5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Sol de América 1–0 Juventud Unida Univ.
  6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 80% now
  7. 3′A goal for Sol de América on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–15–5
  8. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Sol de América 1–1 Juventud Unida Univ.
  9. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 44% now
  10. 13′Juventud Unida Univ. score on 10′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 43–38–19
  11. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Sol de América
  12. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Sol de América win 38%)
  13. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
  14. 41′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Sol de América 1–1 Juventud Unida Univ.
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Sol de América 1–1 Juventud Unida Univ.
  17. 53′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–15
  18. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  19. 62′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–12
  20. 69′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
  21. 69′8 shots for Juventud Unida Univ., 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 19–71–10
  22. 72′Sol de América find the net on 69′. 2–1. 2–1 · 91–9–1
  23. 72′⚽ GOAL · 69' Sol de América 2–1 Juventud Unida Univ.
  24. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 91% now
  25. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Sol de América win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
  26. 74′We said Sol de América at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–1 · 92–8–0
  27. 75′3 goals already, more than the 1.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 92–7–0
  28. 79′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–2 · 11–83–6
  29. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 1.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 11–83–6
  30. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Sol de América 2–2 Juventud Unida Univ.
  31. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 11% now
  32. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Sol de América win 11%)
  33. 82′A goal for Juventud Unida Univ. on 79′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 9–87–5
  34. 84′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–90–4
  35. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Sol de América win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
  36. 89′We said Sol de América at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
  37. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Juventud Unida Univ.
  38. FTFULL TIME Sol de América 2–2 Juventud Unida Univ.
  39. FTSol de América 2–2 Juventud Unida Univ. · Sol de América win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Under 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sol de América are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sol de América 46%, draw 34%, Juventud Unida Univ. 20%. Over 2.5 goals 23%, both teams to score 29%.

The AI’s read on Sol de América v Juventud Unida Univ.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sol de América win46%
Draw34%
Juventud Unida Univ. win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 23:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueEstadio Antonio Romero

Line-ups

Sol de América

Juventud Unida Univ.

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sol de América

Juventud Unida Univ.

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Torneo Federal A

Last match: 11 Oct · Torneo Federal A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Sol de América16+526
31Juventud Unida Univ.16017

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sol de América

Formation not confirmed

5 A. Alcaraz

11 J. Sosa

3 Agustin Villasanti

1 Matias Astrada

9 Bruno Di Martino

10 Sebastian Jimenez

6 E. Medeiro

7 F. Olmedo

2 Facundo Pardo

4 Maximiliano Pena

8 Jose Romero

Coach · Omar Larroza

Substitutes

12 · Matias Arce Lucas

14 · Gabriel Britez

20 · J. Cabanas

19 · A. Medina

16 · Mariano Mendoza

13 · Marcos Ojeda

17 · Matias Olmedo

18 · Franco Paredes

15 · Fabricio Pietkiewicz

Juventud Unida Univ.

Formation not confirmed

1 Julián Eduardo Lucero

3 L. Figueroa

4 E. Garro

5 J. Gómez

7 A. Lima

9 Julián Eduardo Lucero

10 S. Moya

11 F. Noguera

6 G. Ojeda

8 L. Perez

2 J. Rosales

Coach · –

Substitutes

14 · V. Gomez

19 · M. Dorato

12 · E. Cirrincione

15 · C. Chavarría

13 · Juan Benenatti

20 · J. Amieva

16 · Pablo Pereyra

18 · G. Salinas

Our number · sol de américa winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Sol de América a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.6, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sol de América v Juventud Unida Univ.1.06 – 0.59
Form · last six in Torneo Federal A this season · since 23 AugW2 D2 L2 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 26 v 1710 v 31

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sol de América win46%––
Draw34%––
Juventud Unida Univ. win20%––
Over 2.5 goals23%––
Both teams to score29%––
Over 1.5 goals49%––
Over 3.5 goals9%––
Sol de América or draw80%––
Sol de América clean sheet56%––
Juventud Unida Univ. clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 20.0%
0123450 20.0 10.9 3.3 1 19.9 12.2 3.5 2 10.7 6.2 3 3.9 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sol de América down, Juventud Unida Univ. across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023
Goals a meeting0.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsJUV 0–0 SOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Torneo Federal A this season · since 23 Aug

SOL DE AMÉRICA

WLDWLD2–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–6 · 0–0

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV.

LWWWDD0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16+931
2Douglas Haig18+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18+1230
4San Martin Formosa16+630
5Alvarado16+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16+626
10Sol de América16+526
11Juventud Antoniana16+825
12Cipolletti16+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18−124
16Villa Mitre16+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16+423
18Atenas16−123
19Huracan Las Heras16−223
20Atletico Escobar18−822
21Fundacion Amigos16+321
22Deportivo Rincon16−319
23San Martín Mendoza16−419
24Defensores de Vilelas16−519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18−719
26El Linqueño18−719
27Costa Brava16−118
28Sol de Mayo16−318
29Boca Unidos16−618
30Germinal de Rawson16−718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16017
32Tucuman Central16−517
33Gimnasia Concepción18−617
34Guillermo Brown16−717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16−1115
36Santamarina16−813
37Circulo Deportivo16−813

The competition's standings before kick-off.