Juventud Unida Univ. v Sol de América prediction · Torneo Federal A

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 22:02

Juventud Unida Univ. 0–0 Sol de América JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Juventud Unida Univ. win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.683

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Juventud Unida Univ. win at 45%.
1′Much as we predicted: Juventud Unida Univ. was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–33–21
7′Much as we predicted: Juventud Unida Univ. was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–35–21
45′We said Juventud Unida Univ. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–51–17
68′A red card for Sol de América on 49′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 20–69–11
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 20% now
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 20% now
87′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Sol de América
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 20% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 20% now
89′We said Juventud Unida Univ. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–0 · 1–98–1
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 20% now
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 1% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 1% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Juventud Unida Univ. win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
FTFULL TIME Juventud Unida Univ. 0–0 Sol de América
FTJuventud Unida Univ. 0–0 Sol de América · Juventud Unida Univ. win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Juventud Unida Univ. win45%

Draw34%

Sol de América win21%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 19:30

VenueEstadio Mario Sebastian Diez

Line-ups

Juventud Unida Univ.

Sol de América

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Juventud Unida Univ.

Sol de América

21Days since last match7

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Sol de América	26	+3	43
25	Juventud Unida Univ.	25	+1	31

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Juventud Unida Univ.

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Lucero

9 G. Salinas

2 J. Rosales

8 L. Perez

3 P. Pereyra

11 F. Noguera

10 S. Moya

6 J. Gomez

4 E. Garro

7 A. Sosa

5 C. Chavarria

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · E. Cirrincione

13 · J. Benenatti

14 · F. Gomez

15 · J. Sosa

16 · V. Roldan

17 · L. Lucero

18 · A. Lima

19 · M. Dorato

20 · J. Amieva

Sol de América

Formation not confirmed

3 A. Villasanti

5 A. Alcaraz

11 J. Cabanas

9 B. Di Martino

10 S. Jimenez

4 R. Lopez Alba

6 E. Medeiro

7 F. M. Mendoza

2 F. Pardo

8 J. Romero

1 M. Astrada

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · L. M. Arce

13 · M. Ojeda

14 · M. Pena

15 · G. Britez

16 · F. Pietkiewicz

17 · M. Mendoza

18 · F. Olmedo

19 · F. Paredes

20 · J. Sosa

Our number · juventud unida univ. winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Juventud Unida Univ. a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.6, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Juventud Unida Univ. win	45%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Sol de América win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	30%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	50%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
Juventud Unida Univ. or draw	79%	–	–
Juventud Unida Univ. clean sheet	54%	–	–
Sol de América clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.3%

0123450 19.3 11.3 3.7 1 19.2 12.4 3.8 2 10.3 6.4 2.0 3 3.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Juventud Unida Univ. down, Sol de América across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,178 Torneo Federal A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Torneo Federal A matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.9% of games this season, across 472 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Juventud Unida Univ. at home: 0.33 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sol de América away: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.05 goals for Juventud Unida Univ., 0.63 for Sol de América. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Torneo Federal A

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV.

DLWWWD0–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

SOL DE AMÉRICA

WWLDWL2–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–6

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	San Martin Formosa	26	+16	51
2	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	26	+14	50
3	Alvarado	26	+19	46
4	Douglas Haig	26	+12	43
5	Cipolletti	26	+11	43
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	29	+7	43
7	Sol de América	26	+3	43
8	Defensores de Belgrano VR	28	+5	41
9	Kimberley Mar del Plata	25	+9	40
10	Argentino Monte Maíz	25	+6	37
11	9 de Julio Rafaela	26	+4	37
12	Atenas	26	0	37
13	Fundacion Amigos	25	+6	36
14	Sportivo Las Parejas	26	+4	36
15	Sportivo Belgrano	26	+1	35
16	San Martín Mendoza	26	−3	35
17	Costa Brava	25	+3	34
18	Deportivo Rincon	26	+2	34
19	Villa Mitre	24	+7	33
20	Boca Unidos	24	+1	33
21	Atletico Escobar	26	−13	33
22	Defensores de Vilelas	25	−2	32
23	El Linqueño	26	−3	32
24	Gimnasia Concepción	26	+1	31
25	Juventud Unida Univ.	25	+1	31
26	Bartolomé Mitre	24	−1	31
27	Independiente De Chivilcoy	26	−4	31
28	Germinal de Rawson	25	−4	31
29	Juventud Antoniana	25	0	30
30	Sarmiento de La Banda	24	−6	30
31	Huracan Las Heras	25	−10	30
32	Guillermo Brown	25	−8	28
33	Circulo Deportivo	26	−9	25
34	Sol de Mayo	26	−11	25
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	24	−22	21
36	Tucuman Central	24	−18	19
37	Santamarina	25	−18	19