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Juventud Antoniana v Huracan Las Heras

Juventud Antoniana

3–0Full time

Huracan Las Heras

Torneo Federal A · SAT 10 OCT · Padre Ernesto Martearena

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 04:30

Juventud Antoniana 3–0 Huracan Las Heras JUVENTUD ANTONIANA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Juventud Antoniana win~~50%

~~The market said~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.390

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.383

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Juventud Antoniana win at 50%.
1′Much as we predicted: Juventud Antoniana was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–31–19
1′KICK-OFF Juventud Antoniana v Huracan Las Heras
22′Juventud Antoniana find the net on 22′. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–14–4
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Juventud Antoniana 1–0 Huracan Las Heras
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Juventud Antoniana win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Juventud Antoniana
31′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Huracan Las Heras
36′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Huracan Las Heras
45′HALF-TIME Juventud Antoniana 1–0 Huracan Las Heras
46′SECOND HALF Juventud Antoniana 1–0 Huracan Las Heras
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Juventud Antoniana 1–1 Huracan Las Heras · Pablo Palacios
53′⚽ GOAL · 51' Juventud Antoniana 1–0 Huracan Las Heras
56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Juventud Antoniana
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Juventud Antoniana 2–0 Huracan Las Heras · Pablo Palacios
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Juventud Antoniana 1–0 Huracan Las Heras
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Juventud Antoniana 2–0 Huracan Las Heras · Pablo Palacios
87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Juventud Antoniana 2–0 Huracan Las Heras
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Juventud Antoniana 3–0 Huracan Las Heras
FTFULL TIME Juventud Antoniana 3–0 Huracan Las Heras
FTJuventud Antoniana 3–0 Huracan Las Heras · Juventud Antoniana win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Juventud Antoniana win50%

Draw32%

Huracan Las Heras win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 02:00

Venue · Padre Ernesto Martearena

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Juventud Antoniana

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Abraham

7 G. Bracamonte

10 M. Esparza

4 N. Gomez

5 J. Iturrieta

6 A. Lopez

11 T. Marchiori

2 I. Monti

9 P. Palacios Alvarenga

8 J. Palacios

3 I. Sanabria

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · J. Nadal

13 · F. Fernandez

14 · D. Cari

15 · Bueno

16 · P. Flores

17 · A. Costilla

18 · Nieva

19 · F. Mateo

20 · P. Mune

Huracan Las Heras

Formation not confirmed

10 E. Bogado

1 F. Aguero

3 J. Aguilar

8 S. Ubeda

5 N. Sandoval

6 E. Montenegro

9 J. Lucero

11 F. Cortes

4 G. Coceres

2 R. Arciero

7 A. Alessandrini

Coach · Gabriel Valles

Substitutes

12 · R. Pacheco

13 · C. Ulloa

14 · J. Alvacete

15 · F. Romero

16 · L. Lopez

17 · M. Dieli

18 · I. Gonzalez

19 · N. Chacon

20 · E. Leiva

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Juventud Antoniana

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Abraham

7 G. Bracamonte

10 M. Esparza

4 N. Gomez

5 J. Iturrieta

6 A. Lopez

11 T. Marchiori

2 I. Monti

9 P. Palacios Alvarenga

8 J. Palacios

3 I. Sanabria

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · J. Nadal

13 · F. Fernandez

14 · D. Cari

15 · Bueno

16 · P. Flores

17 · A. Costilla

18 · Nieva

19 · F. Mateo

20 · P. Mune

Huracan Las Heras

Formation not confirmed

10 E. Bogado

1 F. Aguero

3 J. Aguilar

8 S. Ubeda

5 N. Sandoval

6 E. Montenegro

9 J. Lucero

11 F. Cortes

4 G. Coceres

2 R. Arciero

7 A. Alessandrini

Coach · Gabriel Valles

Substitutes

12 · R. Pacheco

13 · C. Ulloa

14 · J. Alvacete

15 · F. Romero

16 · L. Lopez

17 · M. Dieli

18 · I. Gonzalez

19 · N. Chacon

20 · E. Leiva

Our number · juventud antoniana winPublished 10 Oct 02:00

50% The market50%

Us50%

~~Market~~50%

We make Juventud Antoniana a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.2–0.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · juventud antoniana win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Juventud Antoniana win	50%	50%	0
Draw	32%	29%	+2
Huracan Las Heras win	19%	21%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	27%	38%	−11
Both teams to score	32%	41%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	54%	62%	−9
Over 3.5 goals	11%	20%	−9
Juventud Antoniana or draw	81%	79%	+2
Juventud Antoniana clean sheet	55%	–	–
Huracan Las Heras clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 19.3%

0123450 17.3 9.8 3.1 1 19.3 12.1 3.6 2 11.6 7.0 2.1 3 4.7 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Juventud Antoniana down, Huracan Las Heras across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,174 Torneo Federal A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Torneo Federal A matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.0% of games this season, across 468 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Juventud Antoniana at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Huracan Las Heras away: 0.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Juventud Antoniana, 0.61 for Huracan Las Heras. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~HUR 1–0 JUV

Form · last six in Torneo Federal A

JUVENTUD ANTONIANA

LDLLLL0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 0–2

HURACAN LAS HERAS

LWLLDW0–1 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	San Martin Formosa	26	+16	51
2	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	26	+14	50
3	Alvarado	26	+19	46
4	Douglas Haig	26	+12	43
5	Cipolletti	26	+11	43
6	Sol de América	26	+3	43
7	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	28	+7	42
8	Defensores de Belgrano VR	28	+5	41
9	Kimberley Mar del Plata	24	+8	37
10	9 de Julio Rafaela	26	+4	37
11	Atenas	26	0	37
12	Fundacion Amigos	25	+6	36
13	Sportivo Las Parejas	26	+4	36
14	Sportivo Belgrano	26	+1	35
15	San Martín Mendoza	25	−1	35
16	Argentino Monte Maíz	24	+4	34
17	Deportivo Rincon	25	+3	34
18	Costa Brava	25	+3	34
19	Villa Mitre	24	+7	33
20	Boca Unidos	24	+1	33
21	Atletico Escobar	26	−13	33
22	El Linqueño	26	−3	32
23	Gimnasia Concepción	26	+1	31
24	Juventud Unida Univ.	25	+1	31
25	Bartolomé Mitre	24	−1	31
26	Defensores de Vilelas	24	−2	31
27	Independiente De Chivilcoy	26	−4	31
28	Germinal de Rawson	25	−4	31
29	Sarmiento de La Banda	24	−6	30
30	Huracan Las Heras	24	−7	30
31	Guillermo Brown	25	−8	28
32	Juventud Antoniana	24	−3	27
33	Circulo Deportivo	26	−9	25
34	Sol de Mayo	26	−11	25
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	24	−22	21
36	Tucuman Central	24	−18	19
37	Santamarina	25	−18	19