Douglas Haig v El Linqueño

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Douglas Haig win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Douglas Haig was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–28–15
3. 1′KICK-OFF Douglas Haig v El Linqueño
4. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
5. 35′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–39–14
6. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Douglas Haig
7. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 36' El Linqueño
8. 41′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–43–14
9. 42′7 shots for Douglas Haig, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 43–43–14
10. 43′Red cards for both sides: Douglas Haig down to ten, El Linqueño to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 43–44–14
11. 43′🟥 RED CARD · 40' Douglas Haig
12. 43′🟥 RED CARD · 40' El Linqueño
13. 45′HALF-TIME Douglas Haig 0–0 El Linqueño
14. 46′SECOND HALF Douglas Haig 0–0 El Linqueño
15. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Douglas Haig win 41%)
16. 50′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–48–13
17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
18. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Douglas Haig
19. 58′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–54–12
20. 65′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–61–10
21. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
22. 70′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–67–9
23. 72′Douglas Haig have had 10 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 23–69–8
24. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 69' El Linqueño
25. 75′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–73–7
26. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Douglas Haig
27. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
28. 80′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–81–5
29. 83′Douglas Haig have had 12 attempts to 7 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 10–86–4
30. 85′We said Douglas Haig at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–89–3
31. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
32. 87′We published Douglas Haig at 58%. Our model now makes it 97%. 1–0 · 97–3–0
33. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Douglas Haig 1–0 El Linqueño
34. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 97% now
35. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Douglas Haig win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
36. 88′Douglas Haig find the net on 86′. 1–0. 1–0 · 98–2–0
37. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Douglas Haig win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
38. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Douglas Haig
39. FTFULL TIME Douglas Haig 1–0 El Linqueño
40. FTDouglas Haig 1–0 El Linqueño · Douglas Haig win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.