Bartolomé Mitre v Boca Unidos

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bartolomé Mitre win at 50%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Bartolomé Mitre 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–30–20
3. 2′KICK-OFF Bartolomé Mitre v Boca Unidos
4. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Bartolomé Mitre
5. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Bartolomé Mitre win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
6. 42′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–44–18
7. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Bartolomé Mitre win 38%)
8. 45′HALF-TIME Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Boca Unidos
9. 46′SECOND HALF Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Boca Unidos
10. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Boca Unidos
11. 51′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–16
12. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Boca Unidos
13. 62′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–58–14
14. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Bartolomé Mitre win: 50% at kick-off, 28% now
15. 67′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–12
16. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Bartolomé Mitre win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
17. 74′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–10
18. 79′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–79–7
19. 83′Bartolomé Mitre are down to ten from 80′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 9–86–5
20. 83′🟥 RED CARD · 80' Bartolomé Mitre
21. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Bartolomé Mitre win: 50% at kick-off, 9% now
22. 84′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–88–4
23. 90′We said Bartolomé Mitre at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
24. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 Boca Unidos
25. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Bartolomé Mitre win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
26. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Boca Unidos win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
27. 96′Boca Unidos score on 90′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
28. FTFULL TIME Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 Boca Unidos
29. FTBartolomé Mitre 0–1 Boca Unidos · Bartolomé Mitre win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.