Atenas v Fundacion Amigos

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atenas win at 46%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Atenas v Fundacion Amigos
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Atenas was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–32–22
4. 11′A goal for Atenas on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–6
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 9' Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos
6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Atenas win: 46% at kick-off, 79% now
7. 12′We published Atenas at 46%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–6
8. 16′Paulo Emanuel·Oballes scores for Atenas on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–5
9. 26′We published Atenas at 46%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
10. 32′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 80–16–4
11. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Fundacion Amigos
12. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Atenas
13. 45′HALF-TIME Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos
14. 46′SECOND HALF Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos
15. 56′We said Atenas at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–16
16. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Atenas 1–1 Fundacion Amigos
17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Atenas win: 46% at kick-off, 29% now
18. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Atenas win 29%)
19. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Fundacion Amigos
20. 59′Fundacion Amigos score on 56′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 27–58–15
21. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Atenas win: 46% at kick-off, 25% now
22. 64′We said Atenas at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–13
23. 73′We said Atenas at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–72–10
24. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Atenas win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
25. 76′We published Atenas at 46%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–1 · 91–8–0
26. 76′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 91–8–0
27. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Atenas 2–1 Fundacion Amigos
28. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Atenas win: 46% at kick-off, 91% now
29. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Atenas win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 8%)
30. 78′Atenas find the net on 76′. 2–1. 2–1 · 92–7–0
31. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Fundacion Amigos
32. 83′We published Atenas at 46%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
33. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Atenas 3–1 Fundacion Amigos
34. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Atenas win: 46% at kick-off, over 99% now
35. 85′A goal for Atenas on 81′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
36. 85′4 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
37. FTFULL TIME Atenas 3–1 Fundacion Amigos
38. FTAtenas 3–1 Fundacion Amigos · Atenas win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.