Home › Football › Torneo Federal A › Argentino Monte Maíz v Kimberley Mar del Plata
Back

Argentino Monte Maíz v Kimberley Mar del Plata
Argentino Monte Maíz
Kimberley Mar del PlataTorneo Federal A · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Modesto Marrone
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Argentino Monte Maíz win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Argentino Monte Maíz was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–31–20
- 1′KICK-OFF Argentino Monte Maíz v Kimberley Mar del Plata
- 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Kimberley Mar del Plata
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Argentino Monte Maíz win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Argentino Monte Maíz win 41%)
- 40′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–44–18
- 45′A red card for Argentino Monte Maíz on 45′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 36–47–17
- 45′HALF-TIME Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata
- 45′🟥 RED CARD · 45+1' Argentino Monte Maíz
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Argentino Monte Maíz
- 46′SECOND HALF Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata
- 49′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–16
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Argentino Monte Maíz win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 59′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
- 67′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–12
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Argentino Monte Maíz win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 73′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–10
- 78′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–7
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Argentino Monte Maíz win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 84′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–88–4
- 90′We said Argentino Monte Maíz at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
- 93′13 shots for Kimberley Mar del Plata, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 2–97–1
- FTFULL TIME Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata
- FTArgentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata · Argentino Monte Maíz win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Argentino Monte Maíz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Argentino Monte Maíz 50%, draw 30%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 20%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 35%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
Argentino Monte Maíz win50%
Kimberley Mar del Plata win20%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 16
VenueEstadio Modesto Marrone
Match timeline
All events
Argentino Monte MaízMIN
Kimberley Mar del PlataEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Argentino Monte Maíz
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Argentino Monte Maíz
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Last match: 18 Oct · Torneo Federal A
Last match: 17 Oct · Torneo Federal A
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Argentino Monte Maíz
Formation not confirmed
10 I. Blangetti
3 P. Hourdebaigt
8 R. Lasserre
5 L. López
4 U. Perrig
6 F. Rassol
7 M. Romero
11 G. Sarmiento
9 J. Tejada
2 H. Vera Oviedo
1 A. Bonet
Coach · –
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Formation not confirmed
10 J. Zárate
2 A. Vazquez
7 E. Ullua
11 F. Russo
9 R. Rios
8 M. Miori
3 F. Mañas
4 T. Loscalso
5 Á. De Gaetani
6 A. Aquino
1 Nicolas Baez
Coach · –
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Argentino Monte Maíz
Formation not confirmed
10 I. Blangetti
3 P. Hourdebaigt
8 R. Lasserre
5 L. López
4 U. Perrig
6 F. Rassol
7 M. Romero
11 G. Sarmiento
9 J. Tejada
2 H. Vera Oviedo
1 A. Bonet
Coach · –
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Formation not confirmed
10 J. Zárate
2 A. Vazquez
7 E. Ullua
11 F. Russo
9 R. Rios
8 M. Miori
3 F. Mañas
4 T. Loscalso
5 Á. De Gaetani
6 A. Aquino
1 Nicolas Baez
Coach · –
We make Argentino Monte Maíz a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Monte Maíz win | 50% | 37% | +13 |
| Draw | 30% | 34% | −4 |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata win | 20% | 30% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 34% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 35% | 43% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 17% | −4 |
| Argentino Monte Maíz or draw | 80% | 70% | +10 |
| Argentino Monte Maíz clean sheet | 51% | – | – |
| Kimberley Mar del Plata clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Torneo Federal A this season · since 23 Aug
ARGENTINO MONTE MAÍZ
KIMBERLEY MAR DEL PLATA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | +9 | 31 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | +7 | 31 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | +6 | 30 |
| 5 | Alvarado | 16 | +12 | 27 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | +6 | 26 |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | +6 | 26 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | +5 | 26 |
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 12 | Cipolletti | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 13 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 14 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | +1 | 25 |
| 15 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | −1 | 24 |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | +6 | 23 |
| 17 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | −1 | 23 |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | −2 | 23 |
| 20 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | −8 | 22 |
| 21 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | +3 | 21 |
| 22 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | −3 | 19 |
| 23 | San Martín Mendoza | 16 | −4 | 19 |
| 24 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | −5 | 19 |
| 25 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | −7 | 19 |
| 26 | El Linqueño | 18 | −7 | 19 |
| 27 | Costa Brava | 16 | −1 | 18 |
| 28 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | −3 | 18 |
| 29 | Boca Unidos | 16 | −6 | 18 |
| 30 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | −7 | 18 |
| 31 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 32 | Tucuman Central | 16 | −5 | 17 |
| 33 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | −6 | 17 |
| 34 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | −7 | 17 |
| 35 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | −11 | 15 |
| 36 | Santamarina | 16 | −8 | 13 |
| 37 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | −8 | 13 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Douglas Haig
Sportivo Belgrano
San Martin Formosa
Alvarado
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Bartolomé Mitre
Sol de América
Juventud Antoniana
Cipolletti
Sarmiento de La Banda
9 de Julio Rafaela
Sportivo Las Parejas
Villa Mitre
Atenas
Huracan Las Heras
Atletico Escobar
Fundacion Amigos
Deportivo Rincon
San Martín Mendoza
Defensores de Vilelas
Independiente De Chivilcoy
El Linqueño
Costa Brava
Sol de Mayo
Boca Unidos
Germinal de Rawson
Juventud Unida Univ.
Tucuman Central
Gimnasia Concepción
Guillermo Brown
Sarmiento Resistencia
Santamarina
Circulo Deportivo