9 de Julio Rafaela v Gimnasia Concepción

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said 9 de Julio Rafaela win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–26–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF 9 de Julio Rafaela v Gimnasia Concepción
4. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Gimnasia Concepción
5. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
6. 37′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–3
7. 37′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–3
8. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Gimnasia Concepción
9. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
10. 39′A goal for 9 de Julio Rafaela on 37′. 0–0 · 45–38–16
11. 39′GOAL DISALLOWED · 39' 9 de Julio Rafaela
12. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 45% now
13. 40′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–39–16
14. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 45% now
15. 42′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–40–16
16. 45′HALF-TIME 9 de Julio Rafaela 0–0 Gimnasia Concepción
17. 46′SECOND HALF 9 de Julio Rafaela 0–0 Gimnasia Concepción
18. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Gimnasia Concepción
19. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was 9 de Julio Rafaela win 40%)
20. 51′Gimnasia Concepción are down to ten from 49′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 40–45–15
21. 51′🟥 RED CARD · 49' Gimnasia Concepción
22. 52′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–46–15
23. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
24. 60′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–52–14
25. 66′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–59–12
26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
27. 72′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–66–10
28. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Gimnasia Concepción
29. 77′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–73–8
30. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
31. 82′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–82–6
32. 85′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–4
33. 86′We said 9 de Julio Rafaela at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 1–0 · 96–4–0
34. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Gimnasia Concepción
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 96% now
36. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' 9 de Julio Rafaela win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
37. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' 9 de Julio Rafaela win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
38. 88′9 de Julio Rafaela find the net on 87′. 1–0. 1–0 · 97–3–0
39. FTFULL TIME 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Gimnasia Concepción
40. FT9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Gimnasia Concepción · 9 de Julio Rafaela win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.