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San Martín San Juan Res. v Deportivo Riestra Res.

San Martín San Juan Res.

2–0Full time

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Reserve League · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 21:30

San Martín San Juan Res. 2–0 Deportivo Riestra Res. DEPORTIVO RIESTRA RES. WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Deportivo Riestra Res. win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.859

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Riestra Res. win at 50%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Riestra Res. 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 26–25–50
1′KICK-OFF San Martín San Juan Res. v Deportivo Riestra Res.
14′San Martín San Juan Res. find the net on 13′. 1–0. 1–0 · 53–25–23
14′⚽ GOAL · 13' San Martín San Juan Res. 1–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 23% now
14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' San Martín San Juan Res. win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Deportivo Riestra Res. win 23%)
15′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 53–25–22
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
26′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 55–25–19
31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 57–26–18
35′A goal for San Martín San Juan Res. on 35′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 84–12–5
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' San Martín San Juan Res. 2–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 5% now
37′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 84–11–4
45′HALF-TIME San Martín San Juan Res. 2–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.
46′SECOND HALF San Martín San Juan Res. 2–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 0% now
FTFULL TIME San Martín San Juan Res. 2–0 Deportivo Riestra Res.
FTSan Martín San Juan Res. 2–0 Deportivo Riestra Res. · Deportivo Riestra Res. win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on San Martín San Juan Res. v Deportivo Riestra Res.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 18:47 · locked at kick-off

San Martín San Juan Res. win26%

Draw25%

Deportivo Riestra Res. win50%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

San Martín San Juan Res.

Deportivo Riestra Res.

6Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	25
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	-43	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportivo riestra res. winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 18:47 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Deportivo Riestra Res. a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · San Martín San Juan Res. v Deportivo Riestra Res.~~1.10 – 1.63

~~Last six in Reserve League~~W0 D1 L5 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 25~~36 v 19

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
San Martín San Juan Res. win	26%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Deportivo Riestra Res. win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
San Martín San Juan Res. or draw	50%	–	–
San Martín San Juan Res. clean sheet	20%	–	–
Deportivo Riestra Res. clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.8 10.5 8.6 4.7 1 7.1 11.7 9.3 5.1 2.1 2 4.0 6.3 5.1 2.8 3 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+San Martín San Juan Res. down, Deportivo Riestra Res. across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,651 Reserve League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Reserve League matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 552 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 2.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

San Martín San Juan Res. at home: 0.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Deportivo Riestra Res. away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for San Martín San Juan Res., 1.63 for Deportivo Riestra Res.. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~DEP 2–2 SAN · SAN 1–0 DEP · DEP 2–1 SAN

Form · last six in Reserve League

SAN MARTÍN SAN JUAN RES.

LDLLLL0–1 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–3

DEPORTIVO RIESTRA RES.

WWLWWW2–0 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	-43	8