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Rosario Central Res. v Aldosivi Res.
Rosario Central Res.
Aldosivi Res.Reserve League · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rosario Central Res. win at 65%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Rosario Central Res. v Aldosivi Res.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Rosario Central Res. 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–21–14
- 27′A goal for Rosario Central Res. on 28′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 58–27–15
- 28′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–12–4
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Aldosivi Res.
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 85% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 85–12–3
- 45′SECOND HALF Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Aldosivi Res.
- 51′52′ and it is 1–0: Aldosivi Res. have scored. 1–0 · 86–12–2
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Rosario Central Res. 1–1 Aldosivi Res.
- 53′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 1–1 · 46–40–14
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 46% now
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 45% now
- 55′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–42–14
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Rosario Central Res. win 41%)
- 62′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–48–13
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 35% now
- 68′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–55–12
- 72′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–60–11
- 76′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–67–9
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 24% now
- 80′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–74–7
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
- 83′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–81–5
- 87′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
- 91′Aldosivi Res. are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 5–92–2
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 91' Rosario Central Res. win: 65% at kick-off, 5% now
- 91′🟥 RED CARD · 92' Aldosivi Res.
- 92′🟥 RED CARD · 92' Aldosivi Res.
- 93′We said Rosario Central Res. at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–95–1
- FTFULL TIME Rosario Central Res. 1–1 Aldosivi Res.
- FTRosario Central Res. 1–1 Aldosivi Res. · Rosario Central Res. win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 18:47 · locked at kick-off
Rosario Central Res. win65%
Aldosivi Res. win14%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:00
Match timeline
All events
Rosario Central Res.MIN
Aldosivi Res.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Rosario Central Res.
Aldosivi Res.
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Rosario Central Res. a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central Res. win | 65% | 57% | +8 |
| Draw | 21% | 24% | −3 |
| Aldosivi Res. win | 14% | 19% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 54% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 77% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 35% | −3 |
| Rosario Central Res. or draw | 86% | 81% | +4 |
| Rosario Central Res. clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Aldosivi Res. clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Reserve League
ROSARIO CENTRAL RES.
ALDOSIVI RES.
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 20 | 29 | 47 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors Res. | 20 | 24 | 39 |
| 3 | Racing Club Res. | 21 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 | River Plate Res. | 21 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Independiente Res. | 19 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Lanús Res. | 19 | 13 | 35 |
| 7 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 19 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Quilmes 2 | 18 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 19 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 18 | 4 | 29 |
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 18 | 9 | 28 |
| 13 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 18 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 18 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 18 | 6 | 26 |
| 16 | Huracán Res. | 18 | 6 | 26 |
| 17 | Rosario Central Res. | 18 | 3 | 26 |
| 18 | Platense Res. | 18 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 20 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 18 | 0 | 24 |
| 21 | Instituto Res. | 18 | -1 | 24 |
| 22 | San Lorenzo Res. | 18 | -2 | 24 |
| 23 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 18 | 2 | 23 |
| 24 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 18 | -3 | 23 |
| 25 | Banfield Res. | 18 | -4 | 23 |
| 26 | Ferro 2 | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 27 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 18 | -12 | 19 |
| 28 | Colón Res. | 18 | -8 | 18 |
| 29 | Aldosivi Res. | 18 | -11 | 18 |
| 30 | Barracas Central Res. | 18 | -13 | 17 |
| 31 | Sarmiento Res. | 18 | -10 | 16 |
| 32 | Tigre Res. | 18 | -10 | 16 |
| 33 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 18 | -10 | 15 |
| 34 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 18 | -15 | 12 |
| 35 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 18 | -23 | 11 |
| 36 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 18 | -43 | 8 |
The competition's standings.
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Boca Juniors Res.
Racing Club Res.
River Plate Res.
Independiente Res.
Lanús Res.
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Quilmes 2
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Huracán Res.
Platense Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.
Instituto Res.
San Lorenzo Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Banfield Res.
Ferro 2
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Colón Res.
Barracas Central Res.
Sarmiento Res.
Tigre Res.
Godoy Cruz Res.
Atl. Rafaela 2
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
San Martín San Juan Res.