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Newell's Old Boys Res. v Platense Res.
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Platense Res.Reserve League · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Newell's Old Boys Res. win at 60%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Newell's Old Boys Res. was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–25–15
- 1′KICK-OFF Newell's Old Boys Res. v Platense Res.
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Newell's Old Boys Res. win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
- 34′Platense Res. score on 34′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–30–51
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Newell's Old Boys Res. 0–1 Platense Res.
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Newell's Old Boys Res. win: 60% at kick-off, 20% now
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Platense Res. win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Newell's Old Boys Res. win 49%)
- 35′We said Newell's Old Boys Res. at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–51
- 36′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 19–30–51
- 44′Newell's Old Boys Res. find the net on 44′. 1–1. 1–1 · 45–41–14
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Platense Res.
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Newell's Old Boys Res. win: 60% at kick-off, 45% now
- 45′We said Newell's Old Boys Res. at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–42–14
- 45′HALF-TIME Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Platense Res.
- 46′SECOND HALF Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Platense Res.
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Platense Res. win 55%)
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Newell's Old Boys Res. win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
- 54′We said Newell's Old Boys Res. at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–48–13
- 59′A goal for Newell's Old Boys Res. on 59′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 59′We published Newell's Old Boys Res. at 60%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Newell's Old Boys Res. 2–1 Platense Res.
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Newell's Old Boys Res. win: 60% at kick-off, 88% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Newell's Old Boys Res. win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 51%)
- 60′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 67′We published Newell's Old Boys Res. at 60%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Newell's Old Boys Res. win: 60% at kick-off, 90% now
- 81′We published Newell's Old Boys Res. at 60%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME Newell's Old Boys Res. 2–1 Platense Res.
- FTNewell's Old Boys Res. 2–1 Platense Res. · Newell's Old Boys Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Newell's Old Boys Res. are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Newell's Old Boys Res. 60%, draw 25%, Platense Res. 15%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Newell's Old Boys Res. win60%
Platense Res. win15%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:00
RoundClausura · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Newell's Old Boys Res.MIN
Platense Res.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Platense Res.
Last match: 13 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Last match: 14 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Newell's Old Boys Res. a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newell's Old Boys Res. win | 60% | 54% | +6 |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | −2 |
| Platense Res. win | 15% | 20% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 44% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 37% | 46% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 25% | −6 |
| Newell's Old Boys Res. or draw | 85% | 80% | +5 |
| Newell's Old Boys Res. clean sheet | 53% | – | – |
| Platense Res. clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 9 Sept
NEWELL'S OLD BOYS RES.
PLATENSE RES.
The table
2026 · Clausura| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Lanús Res. | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors Res. | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 13 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 13 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 13 | +12 | 23 |
| 7 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 13 | +9 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate Res. | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 9 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 10 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 11 | Rosario Central Res. | 13 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 13 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Res. | 13 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 16 | San Lorenzo Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 17 | Instituto Res. | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 18 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 13 | +4 | 17 |
| 19 | Huracán Res. | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 20 | Quilmes 2 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 21 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 22 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 13 | −4 | 16 |
| 23 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 13 | +2 | 15 |
| 24 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 25 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 13 | −4 | 14 |
| 26 | Tigre Res. | 13 | −6 | 14 |
| 27 | Racing Club Res. | 13 | −5 | 13 |
| 28 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 13 | −10 | 13 |
| 29 | Aldosivi Res. | 13 | −4 | 12 |
| 30 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 13 | −7 | 12 |
| 31 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 13 | −10 | 12 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 13 | −11 | 12 |
| 33 | Barracas Central Res. | 13 | −11 | 9 |
| 34 | Colón Res. | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 35 | Platense Res. | 13 | −10 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 13 | −16 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Independiente Res.
Lanús Res.
Boca Juniors Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
River Plate Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Rosario Central Res.
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Atl. Rafaela 2
Sarmiento Res.
Godoy Cruz Res.
San Lorenzo Res.
Instituto Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Huracán Res.
Quilmes 2
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Tigre Res.
Racing Club Res.
San Martín San Juan Res.
Aldosivi Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Banfield Res.
Barracas Central Res.
Colón Res.
Ferro 2