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Lanús Res. v Quilmes 2
Lanús Res.
Quilmes 2Reserve League · WED 21 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Lanús Res. win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Lanús Res. 50% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Lanús Res. v Quilmes 2
- 6′A goal for Lanús Res. on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–16–8
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Lanús Res. 1–0 Quilmes 2
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Lanús Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 76% now
- 7′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–8
- 18′Lanús Res. score on 18′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–2
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Lanús Res. 2–0 Quilmes 2
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Lanús Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 93% now
- 19′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–2
- 38′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Lanús Res. 2–0 Quilmes 2
- 46′Quilmes 2 find the net on 46′. 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Lanús Res. 2–1 Quilmes 2
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Lanús Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 79% now
- 48′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–1 · 79–17–4
- 49′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–17–4
- 50′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 65′A goal for Lanús Res. on 65′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Lanús Res. 3–1 Quilmes 2
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Lanús Res. win: 50% at kick-off, 98% now
- 66′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 67′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 76′Lanús Res. score on 76′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 76′We said Lanús Res. at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Lanús Res. 4–1 Quilmes 2
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Lanús Res. win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 78′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 83′Quilmes 2 find the net on 82′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Lanús Res. 4–2 Quilmes 2
- 84′GOAL DISALLOWED · 84' Quilmes 2
- FTFULL TIME Lanús Res. 4–1 Quilmes 2
- FTLanús Res. 4–1 Quilmes 2 · Lanús Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Lanús Res. are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Lanús Res. 50%, draw 26%, Quilmes 2 24%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Lanús Res. win50%
Quilmes 2 win24%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00
RoundClausura · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Lanús Res.MIN
Quilmes 2Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Lanús Res.
Quilmes 2
Last match: 14 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Last match: 13 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Lanús Res. a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lanús Res. win | 50% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Quilmes 2 win | 24% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 48% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – | – |
| Lanús Res. or draw | 76% | – | – |
| Lanús Res. clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Quilmes 2 clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 Sept
LANÚS RES.
QUILMES 2
The table
2026 · Clausura| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 14 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Lanús Res. | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors Res. | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 13 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 14 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rosario Central Res. | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 7 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 13 | +12 | 23 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 13 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 | River Plate Res. | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 10 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Res. | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 18 | Instituto Res. | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 13 | +4 | 17 |
| 20 | Huracán Res. | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 21 | Quilmes 2 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 22 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 23 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 24 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 13 | −4 | 16 |
| 25 | Aldosivi Res. | 14 | −3 | 15 |
| 26 | Tigre Res. | 14 | −6 | 15 |
| 27 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 14 | −5 | 14 |
| 28 | Racing Club Res. | 13 | −5 | 13 |
| 29 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 13 | −10 | 13 |
| 30 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 13 | −7 | 12 |
| 31 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 13 | −10 | 12 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 14 | −12 | 12 |
| 33 | Barracas Central Res. | 13 | −11 | 9 |
| 34 | Colón Res. | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 35 | Platense Res. | 14 | −11 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 13 | −16 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Independiente Res.
Boca Juniors Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Rosario Central Res.
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
River Plate Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Atl. Rafaela 2
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Sarmiento Res.
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Godoy Cruz Res.
San Lorenzo Res.
Instituto Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Huracán Res.
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Aldosivi Res.
Tigre Res.
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Racing Club Res.
San Martín San Juan Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Banfield Res.
Barracas Central Res.
Colón Res.
Platense Res.
Ferro 2