Ferro 2 v Colón Res.

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ferro 2 win at 44%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ferro 2 was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–29–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ferro 2 v Colón Res.
4. 3′Colón Res. score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–24–57
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Ferro 2 0–1 Colón Res.
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Ferro 2 win: 44% at kick-off, 20% now
7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Colón Res. win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Ferro 2 win 44%)
8. 4′We said Ferro 2 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
9. 26′We said Ferro 2 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Ferro 2 win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 13–25–62
12. 45′We said Ferro 2 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
13. 45′HALF-TIME Ferro 2 0–1 Colón Res.
14. 46′SECOND HALF Ferro 2 0–1 Colón Res.
15. 64′We said Ferro 2 at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
16. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Ferro 2 win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
17. FTFULL TIME Ferro 2 0–1 Colón Res.
18. FTFerro 2 0–1 Colón Res. · Ferro 2 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.