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Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 v Independiente Res.

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1–2Full time
Independiente Res.

Reserve League · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 21:30
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res. INDEPENDIENTE RES. WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Independiente Res. win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.411

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Independiente Res. win at 48%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Independiente Res. 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 25–27–48
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 v Independiente Res.
  4. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
  5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Independiente Res. win 39%)
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 0–0 Independiente Res.
  7. 46′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 21–43–36
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 0–0 Independiente Res.
  9. 49′A goal for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 on 49′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–25–10
  10. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–0 Independiente Res.
  11. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 10% now
  12. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 44%)
  13. 50′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 66–25–10
  14. 50′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 66–25–10
  15. 51′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–25–9
  16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
  17. 55′Independiente Res. score on 55′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 19–48–32
  18. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–1 Independiente Res.
  19. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 32% now
  20. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win 68%)
  21. 56′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 19–49–32
  22. 60′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 18–53–29
  23. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
  24. 68′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 15–61–24
  25. 74′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 12–69–19
  26. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
  27. 82′Independiente Res. find the net on 81′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
  28. 82′We said Independiente Res. at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
  29. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res.
  30. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 93% now
  31. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Independiente Res. win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 80%)
  32. 83′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–6–94
  33. 85′We said Independiente Res. at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  34. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
  35. FTFULL TIME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res.
  36. FTEstudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res. · Independiente Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Independiente Res. are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 25%, draw 27%, Independiente Res. 48%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 v Independiente Res.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win25%
Draw27%
Independiente Res. win48%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:00

RoundClausura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

Independiente Res.

7Days since last match7

Last match: 13 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

Last match: 13 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Clausura

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Independiente Res.13+1930
5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 213+624

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · independiente res. winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Independiente Res. a 48% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 v Independiente Res.0.95 – 1.42
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 SeptW3 D3 L0 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 24 v 305 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win25%––
Draw27%––
Independiente Res. win48%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals22%––
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 or draw52%––
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 clean sheet25%––
Independiente Res. clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.2%
0123450 9.8 13.2 9.4 4.5 1 8.8 12.6 8.7 4.2 2 4.3 5.9 4.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 down, Independiente Res. across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsIND 5–0 EST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 Sept

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2

WWWDDD2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1

INDEPENDIENTE RES.

LWWWDW1–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026 · Clausura
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Independiente Res.13+1930
2Lanús Res.13+1027
3Boca Juniors Res.13+925
4Belgrano Córdoba Res.13+325
5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 213+624
6Vélez Sársfield Res.13+1223
7Deportivo Riestra Res.13+923
8River Plate Res.13+922
9Estudiantes La Plata Res13+822
10Gimnasia Mendoza 213+221
11Rosario Central Res.13+121
12Talleres Córdoba Res.13+420
13Atl. Rafaela 213020
14Sarmiento Res.13+318
15Godoy Cruz Res.13+218
16San Lorenzo Res.13+218
17Instituto Res.13018
18Gimnasia La Plata Res.13+417
19Huracán Res.13+117
20Quilmes 213017
21Unión Santa Fe Res.13+416
22Atlético Tucumán Res.13−416
23Newell's Old Boys Res.13+215
24Defensa y Justicia Res.13015
25Argentinos Juniors Res.13−414
26Tigre Res.13−614
27Racing Club Res.13−513
28San Martín San Juan Res.13−1013
29Aldosivi Res.13−412
30Independiente Riva. Res.13−712
31Central Córdoba SdE Res.13−1012
32Banfield Res.13−1112
33Barracas Central Res.13−119
34Colón Res.13−128
35Platense Res.13−107
36Ferro 213−166

The competition's standings before kick-off.