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Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 v Independiente Res.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Independiente Res.Reserve League · TUE 20 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Independiente Res. win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Independiente Res. 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 25–27–48
- 1′KICK-OFF Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 v Independiente Res.
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Independiente Res. win 39%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 0–0 Independiente Res.
- 46′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 21–43–36
- 46′SECOND HALF Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 0–0 Independiente Res.
- 49′A goal for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 on 49′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–25–10
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–0 Independiente Res.
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 10% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Draw 44%)
- 50′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 66–25–10
- 50′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 66–25–10
- 51′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–25–9
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
- 55′Independiente Res. score on 55′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 19–48–32
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–1 Independiente Res.
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 32% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win 68%)
- 56′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 19–49–32
- 60′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 18–53–29
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 68′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 15–61–24
- 74′We said Independiente Res. at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 12–69–19
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 82′Independiente Res. find the net on 81′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
- 82′We said Independiente Res. at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res.
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 93% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Independiente Res. win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 80%)
- 83′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–6–94
- 85′We said Independiente Res. at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Independiente Res. win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
- FTFULL TIME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res.
- FTEstudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–2 Independiente Res. · Independiente Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Independiente Res. are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 25%, draw 27%, Independiente Res. 48%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win25%
Independiente Res. win48%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:00
RoundClausura · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2MIN
Independiente Res.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Independiente Res.
Last match: 13 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Last match: 13 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Independiente Res. a 48% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win | 25% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Independiente Res. win | 48% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | – | – |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 or draw | 52% | – | – |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Independiente Res. clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 Sept
ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2
INDEPENDIENTE RES.
The table
2026 · Clausura| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Lanús Res. | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors Res. | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 13 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 13 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 13 | +12 | 23 |
| 7 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 13 | +9 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate Res. | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 9 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 10 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 11 | Rosario Central Res. | 13 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 13 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Res. | 13 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 16 | San Lorenzo Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 17 | Instituto Res. | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 18 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 13 | +4 | 17 |
| 19 | Huracán Res. | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 20 | Quilmes 2 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 21 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 22 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 13 | −4 | 16 |
| 23 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 13 | +2 | 15 |
| 24 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 25 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 13 | −4 | 14 |
| 26 | Tigre Res. | 13 | −6 | 14 |
| 27 | Racing Club Res. | 13 | −5 | 13 |
| 28 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 13 | −10 | 13 |
| 29 | Aldosivi Res. | 13 | −4 | 12 |
| 30 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 13 | −7 | 12 |
| 31 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 13 | −10 | 12 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 13 | −11 | 12 |
| 33 | Barracas Central Res. | 13 | −11 | 9 |
| 34 | Colón Res. | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 35 | Platense Res. | 13 | −10 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 13 | −16 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Lanús Res.
Boca Juniors Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
River Plate Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Rosario Central Res.
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Atl. Rafaela 2
Sarmiento Res.
Godoy Cruz Res.
San Lorenzo Res.
Instituto Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Huracán Res.
Quilmes 2
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Tigre Res.
Racing Club Res.
San Martín San Juan Res.
Aldosivi Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Banfield Res.
Barracas Central Res.
Colón Res.
Platense Res.
Ferro 2