Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Reserve League › Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Back
Argentina flag

Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Deportivo Riestra Res.
3–1Full time
Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Reserve League · THU 22 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 22:00
Deportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res. DEPORTIVO RIESTRA RES. WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Deportivo Riestra Res. win57%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.283
The market’s Brier score0.218

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Riestra Res. win at 57%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Riestra Res. was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–25–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  4. 12′Central Córdoba SdE Res. find the net on 12′. 0–1. 0–1 · 27–27–46
  5. 12′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–27–46
  6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
  8. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Central Córdoba SdE Res. win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Deportivo Riestra Res. win 54%)
  9. 17′A red card for Central Córdoba SdE Res. on 17′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 26–27–47
  10. 17′🟥 RED CARD · 17' Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  11. 20′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–48
  12. 21′Red cards for both sides: Deportivo Riestra Res. down to ten, Central Córdoba SdE Res. to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 24–27–48
  13. 21′🟥 RED CARD · 21' Deportivo Riestra Res.
  14. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 21–28–51
  15. 34′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
  16. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  18. 46′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–28–58
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  20. 59′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
  21. 62′A goal for Deportivo Riestra Res. on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–53–14
  22. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Deportivo Riestra Res. 1–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  23. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 33% now
  24. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Central Córdoba SdE Res. win 67%)
  25. 63′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–54–14
  26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
  27. 73′Deportivo Riestra Res. score on 73′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
  28. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Deportivo Riestra Res. 2–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  29. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 89% now
  30. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Deportivo Riestra Res. win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 66%)
  31. 74′We published Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  32. 74′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  33. 83′We published Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  34. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
  35. 92′Deportivo Riestra Res. find the net on 90′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  36. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Deportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  37. 93′We published Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  38. 93′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  39. FTFULL TIME Deportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
  40. FTDeportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res. · Deportivo Riestra Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Deportivo Riestra Res. are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Riestra Res. 57%, draw 25%, Central Córdoba SdE Res. 18%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off

Deportivo Riestra Res. win57%
Draw25%
Central Córdoba SdE Res. win18%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 19:00

RoundClausura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

8Days since last match7

Last match: 14 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

Last match: 15 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Clausura

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Deportivo Riestra Res.13+923
31Central Córdoba SdE Res.13−1012

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportivo riestra res. winFirst published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
57% The market62%
Us57%
Market62%

We make Deportivo Riestra Res. a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.1.63 – 0.81
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 9 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 23 v 1210 v 31
The market · Deportivo Riestra Res. win62% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 16 OCT 00:0022 OCT 18:35
Our probability · Deportivo Riestra Res. win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Deportivo Riestra Res. win57%62%−5
Draw25%23%+2
Central Córdoba SdE Res. win18%14%+4
Over 2.5 goals44%49%−5
Both teams to score44%46%−2
Over 1.5 goals70%72%−2
Over 3.5 goals23%29%−6
Deportivo Riestra Res. or draw82%86%−4
Deportivo Riestra Res. clean sheet45%––
Central Córdoba SdE Res. clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.1%
0123450 9.1 6.9 2.9 1 14.1 11.5 4.6 2 11.5 9.2 3.7 3 6.3 5.0 2.0 4 2.6 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Riestra Res. down, Central Córdoba SdE Res. across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsCEN 1–0 DEP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 9 Sept

DEPORTIVO RIESTRA RES.

WLWWWL4–1 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–2

CENTRAL CÓRDOBA SDE RES.

LWLDLL1–2 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–2

The table

2026 · Clausura
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Independiente Res.14+2033
2Lanús Res.14+1330
3Estudiantes La Plata Res14+1025
4Boca Juniors Res.13+925
5Belgrano Córdoba Res.14+125
6Vélez Sársfield Res.14+1224
7Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 214+524
8Rosario Central Res.14+224
9River Plate Res.14+923
10Deportivo Riestra Res.13+923
11Talleres Córdoba Res.14+523
12Gimnasia Mendoza 213+221
13Atl. Rafaela 214021
14Sarmiento Res.14+319
15Newell's Old Boys Res.14+318
16Godoy Cruz Res.13+218
17San Lorenzo Res.13+218
18Instituto Res.13018
19Gimnasia La Plata Res.14+317
20Huracán Res.13+117
21Quilmes 214−317
22Unión Santa Fe Res.13+416
23Defensa y Justicia Res.14016
24Atlético Tucumán Res.13−416
25Aldosivi Res.14−315
26Independiente Riva. Res.14−615
27Tigre Res.14−615
28Argentinos Juniors Res.14−514
29Racing Club Res.13−513
30San Martín San Juan Res.14−1113
31Central Córdoba SdE Res.13−1012
32Banfield Res.14−1212
33Colón Res.14−1111
34Barracas Central Res.13−119
35Platense Res.14−117
36Ferro 214−176

The competition's standings before kick-off.