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Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.Reserve League · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Riestra Res. win at 57%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Riestra Res. was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–25–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Riestra Res. v Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 12′Central Córdoba SdE Res. find the net on 12′. 0–1. 0–1 · 27–27–46
- 12′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–27–46
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
- 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Central Córdoba SdE Res. win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Deportivo Riestra Res. win 54%)
- 17′A red card for Central Córdoba SdE Res. on 17′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 26–27–47
- 17′🟥 RED CARD · 17' Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 20′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–48
- 21′Red cards for both sides: Deportivo Riestra Res. down to ten, Central Córdoba SdE Res. to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 24–27–48
- 21′🟥 RED CARD · 21' Deportivo Riestra Res.
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 21–28–51
- 34′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 46′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–28–58
- 46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Riestra Res. 0–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 59′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
- 62′A goal for Deportivo Riestra Res. on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–53–14
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Deportivo Riestra Res. 1–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 33% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Central Córdoba SdE Res. win 67%)
- 63′We said Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–54–14
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
- 73′Deportivo Riestra Res. score on 73′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Deportivo Riestra Res. 2–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 89% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Deportivo Riestra Res. win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 66%)
- 74′We published Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 74′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 83′We published Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Deportivo Riestra Res. win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
- 92′Deportivo Riestra Res. find the net on 90′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Deportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 93′We published Deportivo Riestra Res. at 57%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 93′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- FTDeportivo Riestra Res. 3–1 Central Córdoba SdE Res. · Deportivo Riestra Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Deportivo Riestra Res. are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Riestra Res. 57%, draw 25%, Central Córdoba SdE Res. 18%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Riestra Res. win57%
Central Córdoba SdE Res. win18%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 19:00
RoundClausura · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo Riestra Res.MIN
Central Córdoba SdE Res.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Last match: 14 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Last match: 15 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Deportivo Riestra Res. a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra Res. win | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | +2 |
| Central Córdoba SdE Res. win | 18% | 14% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 46% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Deportivo Riestra Res. or draw | 82% | 86% | −4 |
| Deportivo Riestra Res. clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Central Córdoba SdE Res. clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 9 Sept
DEPORTIVO RIESTRA RES.
CENTRAL CÓRDOBA SDE RES.
The table
2026 · Clausura| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 14 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Lanús Res. | 14 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors Res. | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 5 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 14 | +5 | 24 |
| 8 | Rosario Central Res. | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 | River Plate Res. | 14 | +9 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 13 | +9 | 23 |
| 11 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 14 | +5 | 23 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 13 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Res. | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 18 | Instituto Res. | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 20 | Huracán Res. | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 21 | Quilmes 2 | 14 | −3 | 17 |
| 22 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 23 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 24 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 13 | −4 | 16 |
| 25 | Aldosivi Res. | 14 | −3 | 15 |
| 26 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 14 | −6 | 15 |
| 27 | Tigre Res. | 14 | −6 | 15 |
| 28 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 14 | −5 | 14 |
| 29 | Racing Club Res. | 13 | −5 | 13 |
| 30 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 14 | −11 | 13 |
| 31 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 13 | −10 | 12 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 14 | −12 | 12 |
| 33 | Colón Res. | 14 | −11 | 11 |
| 34 | Barracas Central Res. | 13 | −11 | 9 |
| 35 | Platense Res. | 14 | −11 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 14 | −17 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Independiente Res.
Lanús Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Boca Juniors Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Rosario Central Res.
River Plate Res.
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Atl. Rafaela 2
Sarmiento Res.
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Godoy Cruz Res.
San Lorenzo Res.
Instituto Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Huracán Res.
Quilmes 2
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Aldosivi Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.
Tigre Res.
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Racing Club Res.
San Martín San Juan Res.
Banfield Res.
Colón Res.
Barracas Central Res.
Platense Res.
Ferro 2