Defensa y Justicia Res. v Atl. Rafaela 2

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Defensa y Justicia Res. win at 58%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Defensa y Justicia Res. 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–22–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Defensa y Justicia Res. v Atl. Rafaela 2
4. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Defensa y Justicia Res. win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
5. 43′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–34–20
6. 45′HALF-TIME Defensa y Justicia Res. 0–0 Atl. Rafaela 2
7. 46′SECOND HALF Defensa y Justicia Res. 0–0 Atl. Rafaela 2
8. 47′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–20
9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 40–41–19
10. 57′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–18
11. 58′Defensa y Justicia Res. score on 58′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
12. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–0 Atl. Rafaela 2
13. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Defensa y Justicia Res. win: 58% at kick-off, 82% now
14. 59′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
15. 68′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
16. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Defensa y Justicia Res. win: 58% at kick-off, 88% now
17. 79′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
18. 86′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
19. 87′Atl. Rafaela 2 find the net on 86′. 1–1. 1–1 · 9–86–5
20. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–1 Atl. Rafaela 2
21. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Defensa y Justicia Res. win: 58% at kick-off, 9% now
22. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Defensa y Justicia Res. win 95%)
23. 88′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–88–4
24. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Defensa y Justicia Res. win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
25. 92′We said Defensa y Justicia Res. at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
26. FTFULL TIME Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–1 Atl. Rafaela 2
27. FTDefensa y Justicia Res. 1–1 Atl. Rafaela 2 · Defensa y Justicia Res. win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.