Home › Football › Reserve League › Central Córdoba SdE Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.

Central Córdoba SdE Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

22:00Upcoming

Independiente Riva. Res.

Reserve League · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Central Córdoba SdE Res.DrawIndependiente Riva. Res.

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Central Córdoba SdE Res. 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Central Córdoba SdE Res. are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Central Córdoba SdE Res. 40%, draw 26%, Independiente Riva. Res. 34%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Central Córdoba SdE Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Central Córdoba SdE Res. win40%

Draw26%

Independiente Riva. Res. win34%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 22:00

RoundClausura · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

Independiente Riva. Res.

6Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

Last match: 21 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
26	Independiente Riva. Res.	14	−6	15
32	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	14	−12	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · central córdoba sde res. winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Central Córdoba SdE Res. a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Central Córdoba SdE Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.~~1.41 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 15 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~32 v 26

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Central Córdoba SdE Res. win	40%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Independiente Riva. Res. win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Central Córdoba SdE Res. or draw	66%	–	–
Central Córdoba SdE Res. clean sheet	28%	–	–
Independiente Riva. Res. clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.2 8.6 5.6 2.4 1 9.5 12.3 7.7 3.3 2 6.8 8.5 5.4 2.3 3 3.2 4.0 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Central Córdoba SdE Res. down, Independiente Riva. Res. across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,682 Reserve League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve League matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 583 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Central Córdoba SdE Res. at home: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Independiente Riva. Res. away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Central Córdoba SdE Res., 1.28 for Independiente Riva. Res.. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~IND 2–1 CEN · IND 3–0 CEN · CEN 0–1 IND

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 15 Sept

CENTRAL CÓRDOBA SDE RES.

WLDLLL3–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–3

INDEPENDIENTE RIVA. RES.

DLDLWW3–3 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 3–2

The table

2026 · Clausura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Independiente Res.	14	+20	33
2	Lanús Res.	14	+13	30
3	Deportivo Riestra Res.	14	+11	26
4	Estudiantes La Plata Res	14	+10	25
5	Boca Juniors Res.	14	+8	25
6	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	14	+1	25
7	Vélez Sársfield Res.	14	+12	24
8	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	14	+5	24
9	Rosario Central Res.	14	+2	24
10	River Plate Res.	14	+9	23
11	Talleres Córdoba Res.	14	+5	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	14	+2	22
13	San Lorenzo Res.	14	+3	21
14	Atl. Rafaela 2	14	0	21
15	Huracán Res.	14	+2	20
16	Sarmiento Res.	14	+3	19
17	Godoy Cruz Res.	14	+2	19
18	Instituto Res.	14	0	19
19	Newell's Old Boys Res.	14	+3	18
20	Unión Santa Fe Res.	14	+4	17
21	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	14	+3	17
22	Quilmes 2	14	−3	17
23	Atlético Tucumán Res.	14	−4	17
24	Defensa y Justicia Res.	14	0	16
25	Aldosivi Res.	14	−3	15
26	Independiente Riva. Res.	14	−6	15
27	Tigre Res.	14	−6	15
28	Argentinos Juniors Res.	14	−5	14
29	Racing Club Res.	14	−6	13
30	San Martín San Juan Res.	14	−11	13
31	Banfield Res.	14	−12	12
32	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	14	−12	12
33	Colón Res.	14	−11	11
34	Barracas Central Res.	14	−11	10
35	Platense Res.	14	−11	7
36	Ferro 2	14	−17	6