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Boca Juniors Res. v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

Boca Juniors Res.

22:00Upcoming

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

Reserve League · THU 29 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Boca Juniors Res.DrawEstudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Boca Juniors Res. 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Boca Juniors Res. are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Boca Juniors Res. 67%, draw 23%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 10%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 30%.

The AI’s read on Boca Juniors Res. v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Boca Juniors Res. win67%

Draw23%

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win10%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 22:00

RoundClausura · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Boca Juniors Res.

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

7Days since last match9

Last match: 22 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

Last match: 20 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Boca Juniors Res.	14	+8	25
8	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	14	+5	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · boca juniors res. winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Boca Juniors Res. a 67% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Boca Juniors Res. v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2~~1.68 – 0.47

~~Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 17 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 25 v 24~~5 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Boca Juniors Res. win	67%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	30%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Boca Juniors Res. or draw	90%	–	–
Boca Juniors Res. clean sheet	63%	–	–
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 19.3%

0123450 12.1 5.4 1 19.3 9.3 2.2 2 16.2 7.5 3 9.1 4.2 4 3.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Boca Juniors Res. down, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,682 Reserve League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve League matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 583 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Boca Juniors Res. at home: 0.67 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Boca Juniors Res., 0.47 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~EST 0–2 BOC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 17 Sept

BOCA JUNIORS RES.

DDLWWL0–0 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

ESTUDIANTES RIO CUARTO 2

WWDDDL1–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026 · Clausura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Independiente Res.	14	+20	33
2	Lanús Res.	14	+13	30
3	Deportivo Riestra Res.	14	+11	26
4	Estudiantes La Plata Res	14	+10	25
5	Boca Juniors Res.	14	+8	25
6	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	14	+1	25
7	Vélez Sársfield Res.	14	+12	24
8	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	14	+5	24
9	Rosario Central Res.	14	+2	24
10	River Plate Res.	14	+9	23
11	Talleres Córdoba Res.	14	+5	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	14	+2	22
13	San Lorenzo Res.	14	+3	21
14	Atl. Rafaela 2	14	0	21
15	Huracán Res.	14	+2	20
16	Sarmiento Res.	14	+3	19
17	Godoy Cruz Res.	14	+2	19
18	Instituto Res.	14	0	19
19	Newell's Old Boys Res.	14	+3	18
20	Unión Santa Fe Res.	14	+4	17
21	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	14	+3	17
22	Quilmes 2	14	−3	17
23	Atlético Tucumán Res.	14	−4	17
24	Defensa y Justicia Res.	14	0	16
25	Aldosivi Res.	14	−3	15
26	Independiente Riva. Res.	14	−6	15
27	Tigre Res.	14	−6	15
28	Argentinos Juniors Res.	14	−5	14
29	Racing Club Res.	14	−6	13
30	San Martín San Juan Res.	14	−11	13
31	Banfield Res.	14	−12	12
32	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	14	−12	12
33	Colón Res.	14	−11	11
34	Barracas Central Res.	14	−11	10
35	Platense Res.	14	−11	7
36	Ferro 2	14	−17	6