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Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Estudiantes La Plata ResReserve League · WED 21 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Belgrano Córdoba Res. win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Belgrano Córdoba Res. was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–26–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res
- 18′A goal for Estudiantes La Plata Res on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–22–61
- 18′We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–22–61
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Estudiantes La Plata Res win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Belgrano Córdoba Res. win 39%)
- 30′We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 43′Estudiantes La Plata Res score on 43′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
- 44′We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–89
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
- 46′SECOND HALF Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
- FTFULL TIME Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
- FTBelgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res · Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Belgrano Córdoba Res. are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Belgrano Córdoba Res. 42%, draw 26%, Estudiantes La Plata Res 33%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Belgrano Córdoba Res. win42%
Estudiantes La Plata Res win33%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00
RoundClausura · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Belgrano Córdoba Res.MIN
Estudiantes La Plata ResEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Last match: 15 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Last match: 14 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Belgrano Córdoba Res. a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Córdoba Res. win | 42% | 45% | −3 |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | −3 |
| Estudiantes La Plata Res win | 33% | 26% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 49% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 53% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 71% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 28% | +2 |
| Belgrano Córdoba Res. or draw | 67% | 74% | −7 |
| Belgrano Córdoba Res. clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Estudiantes La Plata Res clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2023Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 Sept
BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES.
ESTUDIANTES LA PLATA RES
The table
2026 · Clausura| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Res. | 14 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 | Lanús Res. | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors Res. | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | 13 | +3 | 25 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 14 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rosario Central Res. | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 7 | Vélez Sársfield Res. | 13 | +12 | 23 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra Res. | 13 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 | River Plate Res. | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 10 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2 | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 | Atl. Rafaela 2 | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 | Talleres Córdoba Res. | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Res. | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys Res. | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo Res. | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 18 | Instituto Res. | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Gimnasia La Plata Res. | 13 | +4 | 17 |
| 20 | Huracán Res. | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 21 | Quilmes 2 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 22 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 23 | Defensa y Justicia Res. | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 24 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 13 | −4 | 16 |
| 25 | Aldosivi Res. | 14 | −3 | 15 |
| 26 | Tigre Res. | 14 | −6 | 15 |
| 27 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 14 | −5 | 14 |
| 28 | Racing Club Res. | 13 | −5 | 13 |
| 29 | San Martín San Juan Res. | 13 | −10 | 13 |
| 30 | Independiente Riva. Res. | 13 | −7 | 12 |
| 31 | Central Córdoba SdE Res. | 13 | −10 | 12 |
| 32 | Banfield Res. | 14 | −12 | 12 |
| 33 | Barracas Central Res. | 13 | −11 | 9 |
| 34 | Colón Res. | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 35 | Platense Res. | 14 | −11 | 7 |
| 36 | Ferro 2 | 13 | −16 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Independiente Res.
Lanús Res.
Boca Juniors Res.
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Rosario Central Res.
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
River Plate Res.
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Atl. Rafaela 2
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Sarmiento Res.
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Godoy Cruz Res.
San Lorenzo Res.
Instituto Res.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Huracán Res.
Quilmes 2
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Atlético Tucumán Res.
Aldosivi Res.
Tigre Res.
Argentinos Juniors Res.
Racing Club Res.
San Martín San Juan Res.
Independiente Riva. Res.
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
Banfield Res.
Barracas Central Res.
Colón Res.
Platense Res.
Ferro 2