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Home › Football › Reserve League › Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res

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Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res

Belgrano Córdoba Res.
0–2Full time
Estudiantes La Plata Res

Reserve League · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 21:30
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES. WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. win42%
The market said45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.695
The market’s Brier score0.825

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Belgrano Córdoba Res. win at 42%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Belgrano Córdoba Res. was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–26–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res
  4. 18′A goal for Estudiantes La Plata Res on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–22–61
  5. 18′We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–22–61
  6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–1 Estudiantes La Plata Res
  7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
  8. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Estudiantes La Plata Res win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Belgrano Córdoba Res. win 39%)
  9. 30′We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  10. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  11. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  12. 43′Estudiantes La Plata Res score on 43′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–8–89
  13. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
  14. 44′We said Belgrano Córdoba Res. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–89
  15. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
  18. FTFULL TIME Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res
  19. FTBelgrano Córdoba Res. 0–2 Estudiantes La Plata Res · Belgrano Córdoba Res. win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Belgrano Córdoba Res. are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Belgrano Córdoba Res. 42%, draw 26%, Estudiantes La Plata Res 33%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata ResBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Belgrano Córdoba Res. win42%
Draw26%
Estudiantes La Plata Res win33%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00

RoundClausura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

Estudiantes La Plata Res

6Days since last match7

Last match: 15 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

Last match: 14 Oct · the Argentine Reserve League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Clausura

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Belgrano Córdoba Res.13+325
10Estudiantes La Plata Res13+822

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · belgrano córdoba res. winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
42% The market45%
Us42%
Market45%

We make Belgrano Córdoba Res. a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Belgrano Córdoba Res. v Estudiantes La Plata Res1.48 – 1.28
Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 SeptW4 D2 L0 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 25 v 224 v 10
The market · Belgrano Córdoba Res. win45% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 18:35
Our probability · Belgrano Córdoba Res. win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Belgrano Córdoba Res. win42%45%−3
Draw26%29%−3
Estudiantes La Plata Res win33%26%+7
Over 2.5 goals52%49%+3
Both teams to score55%53%+2
Over 1.5 goals76%71%+5
Over 3.5 goals30%28%+2
Belgrano Córdoba Res. or draw67%74%−7
Belgrano Córdoba Res. clean sheet28%––
Estudiantes La Plata Res clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%
0123450 6.7 8.0 5.2 2.2 1 9.3 12.1 7.5 3.2 2 7.0 8.7 5.5 2.4 3 3.5 4.3 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Belgrano Córdoba Res. down, Estudiantes La Plata Res across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.40
Over 2.53 of 5
Both scored3 of 5
Last meetingsEST 3–1 BEL · BEL 1–1 EST · EST 2–2 BEL · EST 0–1 BEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Reserve League this season · since 8 Sept

BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES.

WWDDWW3–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 3–2 · 2–1

ESTUDIANTES LA PLATA RES

WLLWDD3–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 4–4

The table

2026 · Clausura
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Independiente Res.14+2033
2Lanús Res.13+1027
3Boca Juniors Res.13+925
4Belgrano Córdoba Res.13+325
5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 214+524
6Rosario Central Res.14+224
7Vélez Sársfield Res.13+1223
8Deportivo Riestra Res.13+923
9River Plate Res.13+922
10Estudiantes La Plata Res13+822
11Gimnasia Mendoza 213+221
12Atl. Rafaela 214021
13Talleres Córdoba Res.13+420
14Sarmiento Res.14+319
15Newell's Old Boys Res.14+318
16Godoy Cruz Res.13+218
17San Lorenzo Res.13+218
18Instituto Res.13018
19Gimnasia La Plata Res.13+417
20Huracán Res.13+117
21Quilmes 213017
22Unión Santa Fe Res.13+416
23Defensa y Justicia Res.14016
24Atlético Tucumán Res.13−416
25Aldosivi Res.14−315
26Tigre Res.14−615
27Argentinos Juniors Res.14−514
28Racing Club Res.13−513
29San Martín San Juan Res.13−1013
30Independiente Riva. Res.13−712
31Central Córdoba SdE Res.13−1012
32Banfield Res.14−1212
33Barracas Central Res.13−119
34Colón Res.13−128
35Platense Res.14−117
36Ferro 213−166

The competition's standings before kick-off.