Argentinos Juniors Res. v Rosario Central Res.

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Argentinos Juniors Res. win at 38%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Argentinos Juniors Res. v Rosario Central Res.
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Argentinos Juniors Res. was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–30–33
4. 15′Argentinos Juniors Res. score on 15′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–11
5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–0 Rosario Central Res.
6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Argentinos Juniors Res. win: 38% at kick-off, 69% now
7. 16′We published Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–20–11
8. 23′We published Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–10
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 71–21–9
10. 45′HALF-TIME Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–0 Rosario Central Res.
11. 46′SECOND HALF Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–0 Rosario Central Res.
12. 49′We published Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
13. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Argentinos Juniors Res. win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
14. 63′We published Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
15. 71′A red card for Argentinos Juniors Res. on 70′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 84–14–2
16. 71′🟥 RED CARD · 70' Argentinos Juniors Res.
17. 72′We published Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
18. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Argentinos Juniors Res. win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
19. 78′A goal for Rosario Central Res. on 78′. 1–0 · 89–11–1
20. 78′We said Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–76–11
21. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–1 Rosario Central Res.
22. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Argentinos Juniors Res. win: 38% at kick-off, 13% now
23. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Argentinos Juniors Res. win 89%)
24. 82′We said Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
25. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Argentinos Juniors Res. win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
26. 87′Rosario Central Res. find the net on 87′. 1–1 · 5–90–5
27. 87′We said Argentinos Juniors Res. at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
28. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 Rosario Central Res.
29. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Rosario Central Res. win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 90%)
30. 88′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–5–95
31. FTFULL TIME Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 Rosario Central Res.
32. FTArgentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 Rosario Central Res. · Argentinos Juniors Res. win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.