Aldosivi Res. v Banfield Res.

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Aldosivi Res. win at 41%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Aldosivi Res. v Banfield Res.
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Aldosivi Res. 41% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–29–31
4. 28′A goal for Aldosivi Res. on 27′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 72–20–8
5. 28′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–20–8
6. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Aldosivi Res. 1–0 Banfield Res.
7. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Aldosivi Res. win: 41% at kick-off, 72% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 72–20–8
9. 44′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
10. 45′HALF-TIME Aldosivi Res. 1–0 Banfield Res.
11. 46′SECOND HALF Aldosivi Res. 1–0 Banfield Res.
12. 55′Banfield Res. score on 54′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–49–23
13. 55′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–49–23
14. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Aldosivi Res. 1–1 Banfield Res.
15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Aldosivi Res. win: 41% at kick-off, 28% now
16. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Aldosivi Res. win 77%)
17. 58′🟥 RED CARD · 58' Banfield Res.
18. 59′Banfield Res. are down to ten from 58′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 26–53–21
19. 63′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20
20. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Aldosivi Res. win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
21. 71′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
22. 77′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
23. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Aldosivi Res. win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
24. 83′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
25. 90′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
26. 94′A goal for Aldosivi Res. on 90′. 1–1 · 1–97–1
27. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Aldosivi Res. win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
28. 95′We said Aldosivi Res. at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
29. 95′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
30. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Aldosivi Res. 2–1 Banfield Res.
31. 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+5' Aldosivi Res. win: 41% at kick-off, 99% now
32. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Aldosivi Res. win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
33. FTFULL TIME Aldosivi Res. 2–1 Banfield Res.
34. FTAldosivi Res. 2–1 Banfield Res. · Aldosivi Res. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.