San Miguel v Ciudad de Bolívar

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Miguel win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: San Miguel was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–35–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF San Miguel v Ciudad de Bolívar
4. 2′We said San Miguel at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–24–60
5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' San Miguel 0–1 Ciudad de Bolívar
6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' San Miguel win: 41% at kick-off, 16% now
7. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Ciudad de Bolívar win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was San Miguel win 16%)
8. 3′M. Gutierrez scores for Ciudad de Bolívar on 2′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–24–60
9. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 4' F. Peralta · Ciudad de Bolívar
10. 12′We said San Miguel at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
11. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' San Miguel win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.8 we expected. 0–1 · 11–24–65
13. 35′We said San Miguel at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
14. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Ciudad de Bolívar
15. 45′HALF-TIME San Miguel 0–2 Ciudad de Bolívar
16. 45′SECOND HALF San Miguel 0–2 Ciudad de Bolívar
17. 48′A goal for Ciudad de Bolívar on 45′. 0–1 · 7–23–71
18. 49′We said San Miguel at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
19. 49′⚽ GOAL · 45+4' San Miguel 0–2 Ciudad de Bolívar
20. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' San Miguel win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
21. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' San Miguel · On: T. Jerez · Off: L. Brochero
22. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' San Miguel · On: L. Delgado · Off: J. Ferrero
23. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' San Miguel · On: G. Fernandez · Off: B. Nasta
24. 61′🟥 RED CARD · 61' Ciudad de Bolívar
25. 63′A red card for Ciudad de Bolívar on 62′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–2 · 0–3–97
26. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' San Miguel
27. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 62' A. Gonzalez · Ciudad de Bolívar
28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' San Miguel · On: M. Oses · Off: D. Adin
29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Ciudad de Bolívar · On: K. Caraballo · Off: G. Sanchez
30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Ciudad de Bolívar · On: T. Guiacobini · Off: M. Gutierrez
31. FTFULL TIME San Miguel 1–2 Ciudad de Bolívar
32. FTSan Miguel 1–2 Ciudad de Bolívar · San Miguel win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.