San Martin Tucuman v Midland

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Martin Tucuman win at 46%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: San Martin Tucuman 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–33–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF San Martin Tucuman v Midland
4. 27′SUBSTITUTION · 10' San Martin Tucuman · On: D. Diellos · Off: M. Veron
5. 31′We said San Martin Tucuman at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–26–61
6. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' San Martin Tucuman 0–1 Midland
7. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' San Martin Tucuman win: 46% at kick-off, 13% now
8. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Midland win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was San Martin Tucuman win 13%)
9. 32′Midland find the net on 31′. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–26–61
10. 33′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–26–62
11. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' San Martin Tucuman
12. 44′We said San Martin Tucuman at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–65
13. 45′HALF-TIME San Martin Tucuman 0–1 Midland
14. 45′SECOND HALF San Martin Tucuman 0–1 Midland
15. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 30' San Martin Tucuman · On: A. Veliez · Off: A. Cisnero
16. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' San Martin Tucuman win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
17. 58′A goal for Midland on 57′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
18. 58′We said San Martin Tucuman at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
19. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' San Martin Tucuman 0–2 Midland
20. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' San Martin Tucuman
21. 78′3 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 1–12–87
22. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' San Martin Tucuman 1–2 Midland
23. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 61' San Martin Tucuman · On: M. Garcia · Off: A. Graneros
24. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 61' San Martin Tucuman · On: L. Arfaras · Off: G. Carabajal
25. 79′San Martin Tucuman score on 78′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 1–12–87
26. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 61' San Martin Tucuman · On: N. Castro · Off: S. Brinone
27. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Midland · On: M. Flores · Off: R. Luna
28. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Midland · On: D. Guzman · Off: J. Perales
29. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Midland · On: L. Diaz Laharque · Off: J. Camano
30. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–89–4
31. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' San Martin Tucuman 2–2 Midland
32. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Midland win 4%)
33. 86′San Martin Tucuman find the net on 85′. 2–2. 2–2 · 6–90–4
34. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Midland · On: M. Penepil · Off: I. Andrada
35. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Midland · On: R. Cao · Off: D. Bulacio
36. 93′A goal for San Martin Tucuman on 90′. 2–2 · 2–97–1
37. 93′We said San Martin Tucuman at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–2 · 99–1–0
38. 93′5 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 99–1–0
39. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' San Martin Tucuman 3–2 Midland
40. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' San Martin Tucuman win: 46% at kick-off, 99% now
41. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' San Martin Tucuman win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
42. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' San Martin Tucuman
43. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' San Martin Tucuman
44. FTFULL TIME San Martin Tucuman 3–2 Midland
45. FTSan Martin Tucuman 3–2 Midland · San Martin Tucuman win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.