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Home › Football › Primera Nacional › San Martin S.J. v Temperley

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San Martin S.J. v Temperley

San Martin S.J.
1–1Full time
Temperley

Primera Nacional · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 00:30
San Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley SAN MARTIN S.J. WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said San Martin S.J. win42%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.688
The market’s Brier score0.787

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Martin S.J. win at 42%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: San Martin S.J. was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–33–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF San Martin S.J. v Temperley
  4. 10′A red card for San Martin S.J. on 10′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 41–35–24
  5. 10′🟥 RED CARD · 10' San Martin S.J.
  6. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Temperley
  7. 25′SUBSTITUTION · 15' San Martin S.J. · On: E. Aguilera · Off: F. Murillo
  8. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was San Martin S.J. win 36%)
  9. 41′Temperley score on 41′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–24–67
  10. 41′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
  11. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' San Martin S.J. 0–1 Temperley
  12. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
  13. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Temperley win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 24%)
  14. 43′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 9–24–67
  15. 45′HALF-TIME San Martin S.J. 0–1 Temperley
  16. 46′SECOND HALF San Martin S.J. 0–1 Temperley
  17. 61′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
  18. 66′San Martin S.J. find the net on 66′. 1–1. 1–1 · 22–64–14
  19. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' San Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley
  20. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  21. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Temperley win 14%)
  22. 67′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–65–14
  23. 70′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
  24. 76′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  25. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  26. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 46' San Martin S.J. · On: G. Rossi · Off: L. Ferreyra
  27. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Temperley · On: P. Souto · Off: F. Benitez
  28. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Temperley · On: D. Trebotic · Off: L. Nieto
  29. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Temperley · On: F. Kruger · Off: A. Arregui
  30. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Temperley · On: A. Melo · Off: F. Diaz
  31. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Temperley · On: L. Richarte · Off: L. Angelini
  32. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' San Martin S.J. · On: R. Rumbolo · Off: H. Zuliani
  33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' San Martin S.J. · On: D. Alvarez · Off: S. Jaurena
  34. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Temperley
  35. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' San Martin S.J.
  36. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  37. FTFULL TIME San Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley
  38. FTSan Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley · San Martin S.J. win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Martin S.J. are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Martin S.J. 42%, draw 33%, Temperley 24%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on San Martin S.J. v TemperleyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

San Martin S.J. win42%
Draw33%
Temperley win24%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 22:00

RoundMatchday 34

Line-ups

San Martin S.J.

Temperley

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Martin S.J.

Temperley

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Primera Nacional

Last match: 11 Oct · Primera Nacional

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Group 2

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Temperley33+1359
9San Martin S.J.33+246

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

San Martin S.J.

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Diaz Robles

4 F. Nadalin

2 M. Osores

6 J. Marchio

3 H. Zuliani

5 D. A. Mercado Carrizo

8 F. Murillo

7 L. Monje

10 S. Jaurena

11 L. Ferreyra

9 N. Funez

Coach · Ariel Martos

Substitutes

12 · L. Garzon

13 · E. Aguilera

14 · D. Alvarez

15 · N. Pelaitay

16 · R. Nieva

17 · L. Acosta

18 · B. Juncos

19 · R. Rumbolo

20 · G. Rossi

Temperley

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Mastrolia

4 L. Monti

2 O. Pacheco

6 V. Aguinagalde

3 L. Angelini

11 F. Benitez

5 F. Diaz

8 A. Arregui

10 L. Nieto

7 G. Hauche

9 M. Echeverria

Coach · Nicolas Domingo

Substitutes

12 · L. Morrone

13 · N. Avalos

14 · M. Calzon

15 · L. Richarte

16 · P. Souto

17 · D. Trebotic

18 · F. Kruger

19 · R. E. Quiroga

20 · A. Melo

Our number · san martin s.j. winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 18 Oct 19:06 · locked at kick-off
42% The market50%
Us42%
Market50%

We make San Martin S.J. a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · San Martin S.J. v Temperley1.14 – 0.80
Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 6 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 46 v 599 v 2
The market · San Martin S.J. win50% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 12 OCT 03:5918 OCT 21:35
Our probability · San Martin S.J. win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
San Martin S.J. win42%50%−8
Draw33%30%+3
Temperley win24%20%+4
Over 2.5 goals31%38%−7
Both teams to score38%43%−5
Over 1.5 goals59%64%−5
Over 3.5 goals13%20%−7
San Martin S.J. or draw76%80%−4
San Martin S.J. clean sheet45%––
Temperley clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.8%
0123450 15.8 10.3 4.6 1 15.2 14.0 5.2 2 9.3 7.4 2.9 3 3.6 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+San Martin S.J. down, Temperley across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsTEM 2–1 SAN · TEM 0–1 SAN · SAN 3–1 TEM · SAN 4–1 TEM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 6 Sept

SAN MARTIN S.J.

LDWLLD0–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–1

TEMPERLEY

WDWLWW3–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026 · Group 2
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tristan Suarez34+1862
2Temperley33+1359
3Atlanta34+758
4Gimnasia Jujuy33+855
5Gimnasia Y Tiro34+652
6Midland33+1251
7Colegiales34+450
8Deportivo Maipu34+748
9San Martin S.J.33+246
10Atletico DE Rafaela34−645
11San Martin Tucuman33+243
12Almagro33−941
13Agropecuario34−1140
14Quilmes34+139
15Patronato34−437
16Nueva Chicago33−836
17Chacarita Juniors34−936
18Club Atlético Güemes33−3323

The competition's standings before kick-off.