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San Martin S.J. v Temperley
San Martin S.J.
TemperleyPrimera Nacional · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said San Martin S.J. win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: San Martin S.J. was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–33–24
- 1′KICK-OFF San Martin S.J. v Temperley
- 10′A red card for San Martin S.J. on 10′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 41–35–24
- 10′🟥 RED CARD · 10' San Martin S.J.
- 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Temperley
- 25′SUBSTITUTION · 15' San Martin S.J. · On: E. Aguilera · Off: F. Murillo
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was San Martin S.J. win 36%)
- 41′Temperley score on 41′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–24–67
- 41′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' San Martin S.J. 0–1 Temperley
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Temperley win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 24%)
- 43′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 9–24–67
- 45′HALF-TIME San Martin S.J. 0–1 Temperley
- 46′SECOND HALF San Martin S.J. 0–1 Temperley
- 61′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
- 66′San Martin S.J. find the net on 66′. 1–1. 1–1 · 22–64–14
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' San Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Temperley win 14%)
- 67′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–65–14
- 70′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
- 76′We said San Martin S.J. at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 46' San Martin S.J. · On: G. Rossi · Off: L. Ferreyra
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Temperley · On: P. Souto · Off: F. Benitez
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Temperley · On: D. Trebotic · Off: L. Nieto
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Temperley · On: F. Kruger · Off: A. Arregui
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Temperley · On: A. Melo · Off: F. Diaz
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Temperley · On: L. Richarte · Off: L. Angelini
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' San Martin S.J. · On: R. Rumbolo · Off: H. Zuliani
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' San Martin S.J. · On: D. Alvarez · Off: S. Jaurena
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Temperley
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' San Martin S.J.
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' San Martin S.J. win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME San Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley
- FTSan Martin S.J. 1–1 Temperley · San Martin S.J. win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
San Martin S.J. are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: San Martin S.J. 42%, draw 33%, Temperley 24%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
San Martin S.J. win42%
Temperley win24%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 22:00
RoundMatchday 34
Match timeline
All events
San Martin S.J.MIN
TemperleyEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
Last match: 11 Oct · Primera Nacional
Last match: 11 Oct · Primera Nacional
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
San Martin S.J.
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Diaz Robles
4 F. Nadalin
2 M. Osores
6 J. Marchio
3 H. Zuliani
5 D. A. Mercado Carrizo
8 F. Murillo
7 L. Monje
10 S. Jaurena
11 L. Ferreyra
9 N. Funez
Coach · Ariel Martos
Substitutes
12 · L. Garzon
13 · E. Aguilera
14 · D. Alvarez
15 · N. Pelaitay
16 · R. Nieva
17 · L. Acosta
18 · B. Juncos
19 · R. Rumbolo
20 · G. Rossi
Temperley
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Mastrolia
4 L. Monti
2 O. Pacheco
6 V. Aguinagalde
3 L. Angelini
11 F. Benitez
5 F. Diaz
8 A. Arregui
10 L. Nieto
7 G. Hauche
9 M. Echeverria
Coach · Nicolas Domingo
Substitutes
12 · L. Morrone
13 · N. Avalos
14 · M. Calzon
15 · L. Richarte
16 · P. Souto
17 · D. Trebotic
18 · F. Kruger
19 · R. E. Quiroga
20 · A. Melo
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
San Martin S.J.
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Diaz Robles
4 F. Nadalin
2 M. Osores
6 J. Marchio
3 H. Zuliani
5 D. A. Mercado Carrizo
8 F. Murillo
7 L. Monje
10 S. Jaurena
11 L. Ferreyra
9 N. Funez
Coach · Ariel Martos
Substitutes
12 · L. Garzon
13 · E. Aguilera
14 · D. Alvarez
15 · N. Pelaitay
16 · R. Nieva
17 · L. Acosta
18 · B. Juncos
19 · R. Rumbolo
20 · G. Rossi
Temperley
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Mastrolia
4 L. Monti
2 O. Pacheco
6 V. Aguinagalde
3 L. Angelini
11 F. Benitez
5 F. Diaz
8 A. Arregui
10 L. Nieto
7 G. Hauche
9 M. Echeverria
Coach · Nicolas Domingo
Substitutes
12 · L. Morrone
13 · N. Avalos
14 · M. Calzon
15 · L. Richarte
16 · P. Souto
17 · D. Trebotic
18 · F. Kruger
19 · R. E. Quiroga
20 · A. Melo
We make San Martin S.J. a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J. win | 42% | 50% | −8 |
| Draw | 33% | 30% | +3 |
| Temperley win | 24% | 20% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 38% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 43% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 64% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 20% | −7 |
| San Martin S.J. or draw | 76% | 80% | −4 |
| San Martin S.J. clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Temperley clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 6 Sept
SAN MARTIN S.J.
TEMPERLEY
The table
2026 · Group 2| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | +18 | 62 |
| 2 | Temperley | 33 | +13 | 59 |
| 3 | Atlanta | 34 | +7 | 58 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 33 | +8 | 55 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Midland | 33 | +12 | 51 |
| 7 | Colegiales | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 34 | −6 | 45 |
| 11 | San Martin Tucuman | 33 | +2 | 43 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | −9 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 34 | −11 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | +1 | 39 |
| 15 | Patronato | 34 | −4 | 37 |
| 16 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | −8 | 36 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | −9 | 36 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 33 | −33 | 23 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Tristan Suarez
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Midland
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
Agropecuario
Quilmes
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
Chacarita Juniors
Club Atlético Güemes