Racing Cordoba v Los Andes prediction · Primera Nacional

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 00:00

Racing Cordoba 1–0 Los Andes RACING CORDOBA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Racing Cordoba win~~42%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.513

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.548

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Racing Cordoba win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Racing Cordoba 42% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–31–26
1′KICK-OFF Racing Cordoba v Los Andes
45′HALF-TIME Racing Cordoba 0–0 Los Andes
46′SECOND HALF Racing Cordoba 0–0 Los Andes
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Los Andes · On: M. Gonzalez · Off: A. V. Chamorro
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Los Andes · On: G. Canete · Off: S. Ortiz
64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Racing Cordoba · On: M. Machado · Off: F. Taborda
64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Racing Cordoba · On: L. C. Pena · Off: F. Monticelli
64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Los Andes · On: F. Tisera · Off: M. Galeano
66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Los Andes
72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Racing Cordoba
73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Racing Cordoba · On: A. Olinick · Off: A. Bustos
73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Racing Cordoba
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Racing Cordoba 1–0 Los Andes
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Racing Cordoba · On: L. Avila · Off: S. Gonzalez
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Los Andes
90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Los Andes · On: T. Blanco · Off: J. Vazquez
90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Los Andes · On: F. Rodriguez · Off: G. D. Carrasco
FTFULL TIME Racing Cordoba 1–0 Los Andes
FTRacing Cordoba 1–0 Los Andes · Racing Cordoba win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 20:45 · locked at kick-off

Racing Cordoba win42%

Draw33%

Los Andes win25%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 21:00

VenueEstadio Miguel Sancho

Line-ups

Racing Cordoba

Los Andes

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Racing Cordoba

Los Andes

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
21	Los Andes	32	+2	40
28	Racing Cordoba	32	−10	37

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Racing Cordoba

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Laborda

4 R. Chamorro

2 G. Aranda

6 M. Gomez Pereyra

3 J. Bay

8 A. Bustos

5 T. Kummer

10 F. Monticelli

7 S. Gonzalez

9 P. Chavarria

11 F. Taborda

Coach · Gustavo Coleoni

Substitutes

12 · V. Dutruel

13 · L. Avila

14 · M. Sanchez

15 · M. Machado

16 · A. Olinick

17 · L. Viano

18 · S. Rinaudo

19 · A. Ortiz

20 · L. C. Pena

Los Andes

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Lopez

4 G. D. Carrasco

2 J. Rodriguez

6 D. Franco

3 N. Fernandez

8 J. Vazquez

5 S. Ortiz

10 A. V. Chamorro

11 F. Villarreal

7 M. Galeano

9 M. Asenjo

Coach · Leonardo Lemos

Substitutes

12 · J. Bustillos

13 · C. Linares

14 · A. Sandoval

15 · G. Canete

16 · F. Rodriguez

17 · M. Gonzalez

18 · A. Gonzalez

19 · F. Tisera

20 · T. Blanco

Our number · racing cordoba winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 20:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market40%

Us42%

~~Market~~40%

We make Racing Cordoba a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · racing cordoba win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Racing Cordoba win	42%	40%	+2
Draw	33%	34%	0
Los Andes win	25%	27%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	31%	31%	0
Both teams to score	39%	39%	0
Over 1.5 goals	59%	56%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	14%	14%	−1
Racing Cordoba or draw	75%	73%	+2
Racing Cordoba clean sheet	44%	–	–
Los Andes clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.6%

0123450 15.6 10.4 4.8 1 14.8 14.2 5.3 2 9.1 7.4 3.0 3 3.5 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Racing Cordoba down, Los Andes across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,908 Primera Nacional matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.8% of games this season, across 592 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Racing Cordoba at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Los Andes away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Racing Cordoba, 0.82 for Los Andes. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~LOS 2–0 RAC · LOS 2–0 RAC · RAC 1–1 LOS

Form · last six in Primera Nacional

RACING CORDOBA

WLLLDD1–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–1

LOS ANDES

DDDLWL0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	33	+9	62
2	Tristan Suarez	33	+17	59
3	Temperley	33	+13	59
4	Deportivo Moron	33	+17	58
5	Atlanta	33	+9	58
6	Godoy Cruz	32	+13	56
7	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	+8	55
8	Deportivo Madryn	33	+17	53
9	Colon Santa Fe	33	+14	53
10	Midland	33	+12	51
11	Gimnasia Y Tiro	33	+4	49
12	Deportivo Maipu	33	+8	48
13	CA Estudiantes	33	+4	48
14	Ciudad de Bolívar	33	0	48
15	Almirante Brown	33	+4	47
16	Colegiales	33	+1	47
17	San Martin S.J.	33	+2	46
18	San Martin Tucuman	33	+2	43
19	Atletico DE Rafaela	33	−7	42
20	Almagro	33	−9	41
21	Los Andes	32	+2	40
22	Chaco For Ever	33	−2	40
23	Agropecuario	33	−8	40
24	Quilmes	33	+2	39
25	Patronato	33	−3	37
26	Defensores De Belgrano	33	−7	37
27	San Telmo	33	−9	37
28	Racing Cordoba	32	−10	37
29	Nueva Chicago	33	−8	36
30	Atletico Mitre	33	−10	36
31	Central Norte	33	−9	34
32	Chacarita Juniors	33	−10	33
33	All Boys	32	−10	33
34	Acassuso	33	−10	32
35	San Miguel	33	−13	32
36	Club Atlético Güemes	33	−33	23