Los Andes v Atletico Mitre prediction · Primera Nacional

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Los AndesDrawAtletico Mitre

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Los Andes 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Los Andes are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Los Andes 43%, draw 35%, Atletico Mitre 22%. Over 2.5 goals 25%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on Los Andes v Atletico MitreBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Los Andes win43%

Draw35%

Atletico Mitre win22%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 36

VenueEstadio Eduardo Gallardo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Los Andes

Atletico Mitre

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera Nacional

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Los Andes	34	+1	41
12	Atletico Mitre	34	−8	39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · los andes winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Los Andes a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Los Andes v Atletico Mitre~~1.06 – 0.67

~~Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 41 v 39~~10 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Los Andes win	43%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
Atletico Mitre win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	25%	–	–
Both teams to score	33%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
Los Andes or draw	78%	–	–
Los Andes clean sheet	51%	–	–
Atletico Mitre clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.0%

0123450 19.0 10.7 4.0 1 17.5 13.6 4.2 2 9.9 6.6 2.2 3 3.5 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Los Andes down, Atletico Mitre across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,933 Primera Nacional matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.2% of games this season, across 617 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Los Andes at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Atletico Mitre away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Los Andes, 0.67 for Atletico Mitre. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ATL 0–3 LOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 13 Sept

LOS ANDES

DLWLLD1–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

ATLETICO MITRE

DLLWDW0–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

The table

2026 · Group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	35	+7	65
2	Godoy Cruz	34	+16	60
3	Deportivo Moron	34	+15	58
4	Deportivo Madryn	35	+20	57
5	Colon Santa Fe	35	+16	57
6	Ciudad de Bolívar	35	−1	51
7	Almirante Brown	34	+4	48
8	CA Estudiantes	34	+1	48
9	Chaco For Ever	35	0	43
10	Los Andes	34	+1	41
11	Racing Cordoba	34	−10	40
12	Atletico Mitre	34	−8	39
13	Defensores De Belgrano	34	−7	38
14	San Telmo	35	−12	38
15	Central Norte	34	−8	37
16	All Boys	34	−10	35
17	Acassuso	34	−10	33
18	San Miguel	34	−14	32