Los Andes v All Boys prediction · Primera Nacional

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 22:01

Los Andes 1–1 All Boys LOS ANDES WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGUNDER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Los Andes win~~40%

~~The market said~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.586

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.691

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Los Andes win at 40%.
1′Much as we predicted: Los Andes was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–39–21
1′KICK-OFF Los Andes v All Boys
15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Los Andes win 37%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Los Andes win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Los Andes
45′HALF-TIME Los Andes 0–0 All Boys
45′SECOND HALF Los Andes 0–0 All Boys
46′We said Los Andes at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–56–16
55′We said Los Andes at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–61–14
58′We published Los Andes at 40%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–1
58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Los Andes · On: F. Tisera · Off: M. Galeano
58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' All Boys · On: S. Apa · Off: M. Nouet
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Los Andes 1–0 All Boys
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Los Andes win: 40% at kick-off, 86% now
58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Los Andes win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
59′Los Andes find the net on 58′. 1–0. 1–0 · 87–12–1
61′Goals are coming at about the 1.5 we expected. 1–0 · 87–12–1
62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' All Boys · On: A. Melo · Off: G. Turraca
62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' All Boys · On: L. Leguizamon · Off: E. Purita
68′We published Los Andes at 40%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Los Andes win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
73′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Los Andes · On: A. V. Chamorro · Off: F. Villarreal
74′We said Los Andes at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–8
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Los Andes 1–1 All Boys
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Los Andes win: 40% at kick-off, 13% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Los Andes win 13%)
75′A goal for All Boys on 74′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 13–80–8
75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Los Andes
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Los Andes win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
80′We said Los Andes at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–6
87′We said Los Andes at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Los Andes · On: F. Rodriguez · Off: M. Gonzalez
87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Los Andes · On: F. Echevarria · Off: J. Vazquez
89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' All Boys
FTFULL TIME Los Andes 1–1 All Boys
FTLos Andes 1–1 All Boys · Los Andes win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Under 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Los Andes just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Los Andes 40%, draw 39%, All Boys 21%. Over 2.5 goals 18%, both teams to score 27%.

The AI’s read on Los Andes v All BoysBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Los Andes win40%

Draw39%

All Boys win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 34

VenueEstadio Eduardo Gallardo

Line-ups

Los Andes

All Boys

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Los Andes

All Boys

6Days since last match6

Last match: 12 Oct · Primera Nacional

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Los Andes	33	+1	40
16	All Boys	33	−10	34

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Los Andes

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Lopez

4 G. D. Carrasco

2 J. Rodriguez

6 D. Franco

3 N. Fernandez

7 M. Gonzalez

5 G. Canete

8 J. Vazquez

10 F. Villarreal

11 M. Galeano

9 M. Asenjo

Coach · Leonardo Lemos

Substitutes

12 · J. Bustillos

13 · C. Linares

14 · A. Sandoval

15 · S. Ortiz

16 · A. Gonzalez

17 · F. Rodriguez

18 · F. Echevarria

19 · F. Tisera

20 · A. V. Chamorro

All Boys

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Noce

4 H. Grana

2 F. Coronel

6 F. Quiroz

3 A. Tabares

11 E. Purita

8 G. Turraca

5 G. Ramirez

10 N. Barrientos

7 M. Nouet

9 L. Cano

Coach · Mauricio Giganti

Substitutes

12 · S. Colo

13 · M. Coronel

14 · Y. De Vito

20 · S. Apa

17 · T. Calone

15 · A. Melo

19 · C. Campostrini

16 · L. Leguizamon

18 · C. Lozada Echenique

Our number · los andes winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

40% The market45%

Us40%

~~Market~~45%

We make Los Andes a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–0.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Los Andes v All Boys~~0.90 – 0.57

~~Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 40 v 34~~9 v 16

~~The market · Los Andes win~~45% · ours 40%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Los Andes win The market, margin stripped

Published at 41%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Los Andes win	40%	45%	−5
Draw	39%	33%	+6
All Boys win	21%	22%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	18%	29%	−11
Both teams to score	27%	36%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	44%	54%	−10
Over 3.5 goals	6%	14%	−8
Los Andes or draw	79%	78%	+1
Los Andes clean sheet	57%	–	–
All Boys clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 24.3%

0123450 24.3 12.0 3.7 1 19.6 12.6 3.3 2 9.3 5.2 3 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Los Andes down, All Boys across0–5 goals a side shown (100.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,918 Primera Nacional matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.9% of games this season, across 602 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Los Andes at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). All Boys away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.90 goals for Los Andes, 0.57 for All Boys. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ALL 0–0 LOS · ALL 3–0 LOS · LOS 1–1 ALL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 5 Sept

LOS ANDES

DDLWLL1–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

ALL BOYS

WLDDLD1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026 · Group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	33	+9	62
2	Deportivo Moron	33	+17	58
3	Godoy Cruz	33	+13	57
4	Deportivo Madryn	34	+17	54
5	Colon Santa Fe	34	+14	54
6	Ciudad de Bolívar	34	+1	51
7	CA Estudiantes	33	+4	48
8	Almirante Brown	34	+4	48
9	Los Andes	33	+1	40
10	Chaco For Ever	33	−2	40
11	Racing Cordoba	33	−9	40
12	Defensores De Belgrano	33	−7	37
13	San Telmo	33	−9	37
14	Atletico Mitre	33	−10	36
15	Central Norte	33	−9	34
16	All Boys	33	−10	34
17	Acassuso	34	−10	33
18	San Miguel	34	−14	32