Godoy Cruz v Almirante Brown prediction · Primera Nacional

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Godoy CruzDrawAlmirante Brown

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Godoy Cruz 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Godoy Cruz are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Godoy Cruz 52%, draw 30%, Almirante Brown 18%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Godoy Cruz v Almirante BrownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Godoy Cruz win52%

Draw30%

Almirante Brown win18%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 36

VenueEstadio Feliciano Gambarte

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Godoy Cruz

Almirante Brown

13Days since last match14

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera Nacional

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera Nacional

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Godoy Cruz	34	+16	60
7	Almirante Brown	34	+4	48

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · godoy cruz winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Godoy Cruz a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Godoy Cruz v Almirante Brown~~1.38 – 0.71

~~Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 13 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 60 v 48~~2 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Godoy Cruz win	52%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Almirante Brown win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Godoy Cruz or draw	82%	–	–
Godoy Cruz clean sheet	49%	–	–
Almirante Brown clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.9%

0123450 13.8 7.8 3.2 1 15.9 13.0 4.2 2 11.7 8.2 2.9 3 5.4 3.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Godoy Cruz down, Almirante Brown across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,933 Primera Nacional matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.2% of games this season, across 617 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Godoy Cruz at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Almirante Brown away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Godoy Cruz, 0.71 for Almirante Brown. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ALM 1–0 GOD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 13 Sept

GODOY CRUZ

WWDWDW2–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 6–3

ALMIRANTE BROWN

DLLLDD0–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026 · Group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	35	+7	65
2	Godoy Cruz	34	+16	60
3	Deportivo Moron	34	+15	58
4	Deportivo Madryn	35	+20	57
5	Colon Santa Fe	35	+16	57
6	Ciudad de Bolívar	35	−1	51
7	Almirante Brown	34	+4	48
8	CA Estudiantes	34	+1	48
9	Chaco For Ever	35	0	43
10	Los Andes	34	+1	41
11	Racing Cordoba	34	−10	40
12	Atletico Mitre	34	−8	39
13	Defensores De Belgrano	34	−7	38
14	San Telmo	35	−12	38
15	Central Norte	34	−8	37
16	All Boys	34	−10	35
17	Acassuso	34	−10	33
18	San Miguel	34	−14	32