Chaco For Ever v Racing Cordoba prediction · Primera Nacional

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Chaco For EverDrawRacing Cordoba

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Chaco For Ever 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chaco For Ever are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chaco For Ever 51%, draw 30%, Racing Cordoba 20%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Chaco For Ever v Racing CordobaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Chaco For Ever win51%

Draw30%

Racing Cordoba win20%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 36

VenueEstadio Juan Alberto Garcia

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chaco For Ever

Racing Cordoba

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera Nacional

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera Nacional

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Chaco For Ever	35	0	43
11	Racing Cordoba	34	−10	40

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chaco for ever winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Chaco For Ever a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Chaco For Ever v Racing Cordoba~~1.40 – 0.77

~~Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 43 v 40~~9 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chaco For Ever win	51%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Racing Cordoba win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Chaco For Ever or draw	80%	–	–
Chaco For Ever clean sheet	47%	–	–
Racing Cordoba clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.9%

0123450 12.9 7.7 3.4 1 14.9 13.3 4.7 2 11.1 8.4 3.2 3 5.2 4.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chaco For Ever down, Racing Cordoba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,933 Primera Nacional matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.2% of games this season, across 617 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Chaco For Ever at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Racing Cordoba away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Chaco For Ever, 0.77 for Racing Cordoba. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~RAC 2–0 CHA · CHA 2–1 RAC · RAC 2–0 CHA · RAC 1–1 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera Nacional this season · since 13 Sept

CHACO FOR EVER

WLDWLW1–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 3–0

RACING CORDOBA

LLDDWL1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026 · Group 1

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	35	+7	65
2	Godoy Cruz	34	+16	60
3	Deportivo Moron	34	+15	58
4	Deportivo Madryn	35	+20	57
5	Colon Santa Fe	35	+16	57
6	Ciudad de Bolívar	35	−1	51
7	Almirante Brown	34	+4	48
8	CA Estudiantes	34	+1	48
9	Chaco For Ever	35	0	43
10	Los Andes	34	+1	41
11	Racing Cordoba	34	−10	40
12	Atletico Mitre	34	−8	39
13	Defensores De Belgrano	34	−7	38
14	San Telmo	35	−12	38
15	Central Norte	34	−8	37
16	All Boys	34	−10	35
17	Acassuso	34	−10	33
18	San Miguel	34	−14	32