Chaco For Ever v Central Norte

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chaco For Ever win at 49%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Chaco For Ever 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–33–18
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chaco For Ever v Central Norte
4. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Chaco For Ever
5. 27′SUBSTITUTION · 25' Chaco For Ever · On: L. Mihovilcevich · Off: D. Valdez
6. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' E. Gaggi · Chaco For Ever
7. 35′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–27–61
8. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
9. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Chaco For Ever 0–1 Central Norte
10. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 12% now
11. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Central Norte win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Chaco For Ever win 12%)
12. 36′The goal count is tracking the 1.8 we expected. 0–1 · 12–27–61
13. 37′Central Norte score on 36′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–27–61
14. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Central Norte
15. 45′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
16. 45′Chaco For Ever find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 35–49–16
17. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME Chaco For Ever 1–1 Central Norte
19. 45′SECOND HALF Chaco For Ever 1–1 Central Norte
20. 47′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–50–16
21. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Chaco For Ever 1–1 Central Norte
22. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 35% now
23. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Central Norte win 16%)
24. 48′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–50–15
25. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Chaco For Ever
26. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
27. 58′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–58–14
28. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Central Norte
29. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Chaco For Ever · On: M. Diaz Chaves · Off: B. Nievas
30. 65′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–12
31. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Central Norte · On: S. Quiroga · Off: M. Moravec
32. 72′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–9
33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
34. 76′🟥 RED CARD · 76' Chaco For Ever
35. 77′Chaco For Ever are down to ten from 77′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 15–78–7
36. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Chaco For Ever · On: M. Tevez · Off: E. Gaggi
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Chaco For Ever · On: A. Lioi · Off: E. Pacheco
38. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Central Norte · On: T. Castro · Off: G. Mancuso
39. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Central Norte · On: E. Bodencer · Off: F. Vedoya
40. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Central Norte
41. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Chaco For Ever win: 49% at kick-off, 8% now
42. 89′A goal for Central Norte on 89′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
43. 89′We said Chaco For Ever at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–4–96
44. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Central Norte · On: J. Mateo · Off: M. Rosales
45. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Chaco For Ever 1–2 Central Norte
46. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Central Norte win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
47. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Central Norte · On: K. Isa Luna · Off: M. Villarreal
48. 90′3 goals already, more than the 1.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–4–96
49. 90′1–2 at the end. Our 49% on Chaco For Ever misses, and the record keeps it. 1–2 · 0–0–100
50. FTFULL TIME Chaco For Ever 1–2 Central Norte
51. FTChaco For Ever 1–2 Central Norte · Chaco For Ever win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.