Almagro v Tristan Suarez

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 36%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: the draw 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 31–36–33
3. 2′KICK-OFF Almagro v Tristan Suarez
4. 15′SUBSTITUTION · 12' Tristan Suarez · On: S. Ramirez · Off: D. Becker
5. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' S. Ramirez · Tristan Suarez
6. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 46% now
7. 40′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 48%. 0–0 · 25–48–27
8. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Tristan Suarez
9. 44′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 50%. 0–0 · 24–50–26
10. 45′HALF-TIME Almagro 0–0 Tristan Suarez
11. 45′SECOND HALF Almagro 0–0 Tristan Suarez
12. 52′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 55%. 0–0 · 22–55–23
13. 53′A goal for Almagro on 52′. 0–0 · 22–55–23
14. 53′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 77–19–4
15. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Almagro 1–0 Tristan Suarez
16. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 19% now
17. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Almagro win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 55%)
18. 54′The goal count is tracking the 1.8 we expected. 1–0 · 77–19–4
19. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Almagro
20. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
21. 69′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
22. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Tristan Suarez · On: A. Gallo · Off: R. Conechny
23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Almagro · On: F. Bustamante · Off: U. Villalobos
24. 71′Tristan Suarez score on 71′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 14–71–15
25. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Almagro · On: J. Fernandes · Off: J. Bustos
26. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Almagro 1–1 Tristan Suarez
27. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 71% now
28. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Almagro win 85%)
29. 72′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–1 · 13–72–14
30. 74′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–1 · 12–75–13
31. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Almagro
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 77% now
33. 77′PENALTY MISSED · 77' Tristan Suarez
34. 78′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–1 · 10–80–10
35. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Tristan Suarez
36. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Almagro
37. 82′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–1 · 7–86–7
38. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Tristan Suarez · On: D. Mastrangelo · Off: N. Fernandez
39. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Tristan Suarez · On: N. Sanchez · Off: S. Ramirez
40. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 86% now
41. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Almagro · On: J. Flores · Off: E. Martinez
42. 86′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 1–1 · 4–91–5
43. 91′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–1 · 2–95–2
44. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Almagro · On: F. Marco · Off: B. Negro
45. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Almagro · On: T. Dornell · Off: F. De La Vega
46. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 96% now
47. 95′🟥 RED CARD · 90+5' Tristan Suarez
48. 96′Tristan Suarez are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 1–98–1
49. FTFULL TIME Almagro 1–1 Tristan Suarez
50. FTAlmagro 1–1 Tristan Suarez · Draw: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.