

Sportivo Barracas v Sacachispas
Sportivo Barracas
SacachispasPrimera C · MON 19 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sportivo Barracas win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sportivo Barracas was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–34–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Sportivo Barracas v Sacachispas
- 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Sportivo Barracas win 36%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Sportivo Barracas 0–0 Sacachispas
- 45′SECOND HALF Sportivo Barracas 0–0 Sacachispas
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Sportivo Barracas win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 54′We said Sportivo Barracas at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–54–21
- 57′We said Sportivo Barracas at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
- 67′We said Sportivo Barracas at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Sportivo Barracas win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 75′We said Sportivo Barracas at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
- 81′We said Sportivo Barracas at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sportivo Barracas win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 88′We said Sportivo Barracas at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Sportivo Barracas at 37% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Sportivo Barracas 0–0 Sacachispas
- FTSportivo Barracas 0–0 Sacachispas · Sportivo Barracas win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Sportivo Barracas just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Sportivo Barracas 37%, draw 33%, Sacachispas 29%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Sportivo Barracas win37%
Sacachispas win29%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 19:00
RoundRound of 16
Match timeline
All events
Sportivo BarracasMIN
SacachispasEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sportivo Barracas
Sacachispas
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera C
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sportivo Barracas a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas win | 37% | 49% | −12 |
| Draw | 33% | 29% | +4 |
| Sacachispas win | 29% | 22% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 40% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 44% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 62% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 19% | −6 |
| Sportivo Barracas or draw | 71% | 78% | −7 |
| Sportivo Barracas clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Sacachispas clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 5 Sept
SPORTIVO BARRACAS
SACACHISPAS