Sacachispas v Sportivo Barracas
SacachispasSportivo BarracasPrimera C · MON 26 OCT · Estadio Beto Larrosa
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sacachispas are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sacachispas 39%, draw 34%, Sportivo Barracas 27%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Sacachispas win39%Sportivo Barracas win27%Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 18:00
RoundRound of 16
VenueEstadio Beto Larrosa
Match timeline
All events
SacachispasMINSportivo BarracasEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sacachispas
Sportivo Barracas
Last match: 19 Oct · Primera C
Last match: 19 Oct · Primera C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sacachispas a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacachispas win | 39% | 30% | +9 |
| Draw | 34% | 32% | +2 |
| Sportivo Barracas win | 27% | 38% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 35% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 43% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | 60% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 18% | −6 |
| Sacachispas or draw | 73% | 62% | +11 |
| Sacachispas clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Sportivo Barracas clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 13 Sept
SACACHISPAS
SPORTIVO BARRACAS