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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Primera C › Lujan v Berazategui

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Lujan v Berazategui

Lujan
18:00Upcoming
Berazategui

Primera C · SUN 25 OCT · 1 de abril

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LujanDrawBerazategui
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Lujan 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lujan are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lujan 40%, draw 32%, Berazategui 28%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Lujan v BerazateguiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Lujan win40%
Draw32%
Berazategui win28%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:00

RoundSuper final

Venue1 de abril

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lujan

Berazategui

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lujan winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Lujan a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lujan v Berazategui1.13 – 0.91
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 12 SeptW5 D1 L0 · W3 D2 L1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lujan win40%––
Draw32%––
Berazategui win28%––
Over 2.5 goals33%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals61%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Lujan or draw72%––
Lujan clean sheet40%––
Berazategui clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 14.2%
0123450 14.2 10.8 5.4 1 13.7 14.2 6.0 2 8.3 7.4 3.4 3 3.2 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lujan down, Berazategui across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.53 of 9
Both scored4 of 9
Last meetingsBER 0–0 LUJ · LUJ 0–1 BER · BER 2–0 LUJ · LUJ 1–1 BER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 12 Sept

LUJAN

WWWWWD3–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

BERAZATEGUI

WDWLWD2–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 0–0