General Lamadrid v Sportivo Barracas prediction · Primera C

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 21:35

General Lamadrid 0–0 Sportivo Barracas GENERAL LAMADRID WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said General Lamadrid win~~43%

~~The market said~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.732

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.685

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said General Lamadrid win at 43%.
1′Little has changed for our model: General Lamadrid 43% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–29–27
1′KICK-OFF General Lamadrid v Sportivo Barracas
3′Little has changed for our model: General Lamadrid 43% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–29–27
4′Little has changed for our model: General Lamadrid 43% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–30–27
45′HALF-TIME General Lamadrid 0–0 Sportivo Barracas
45′SECOND HALF General Lamadrid 0–0 Sportivo Barracas
FTFULL TIME General Lamadrid 0–0 Sportivo Barracas
FTGeneral Lamadrid 0–0 Sportivo Barracas · General Lamadrid win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

General Lamadrid win43%

Draw31%

Sportivo Barracas win26%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

General Lamadrid

Sportivo Barracas

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	General Lamadrid	31	−4	40
15	Sportivo Barracas	31	0	39

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · general lamadrid winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

43% The market37%

Us43%

~~Market~~37%

We make General Lamadrid a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · general lamadrid win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 36% to 37% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
General Lamadrid win	43%	37%	+6
Draw	31%	33%	−2
Sportivo Barracas win	26%	30%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	37%	36%	+1
Both teams to score	44%	44%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	65%	61%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	18%	18%	−1
General Lamadrid or draw	74%	70%	+4
General Lamadrid clean sheet	40%	–	–
Sportivo Barracas clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%

0123450 12.6 9.5 4.8 1 13.3 14.0 5.9 2 9.0 8.1 3.7 3 3.8 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+General Lamadrid down, Sportivo Barracas across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,493 Primera C matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera C matches have gone over 2.5 in 27.6% of games this season, across 434 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 2.40 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

General Lamadrid at home: 0.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sportivo Barracas away: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for General Lamadrid, 0.91 for Sportivo Barracas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SPO 2–0 GEN · SPO 2–2 GEN · GEN 1–1 SPO · GEN 0–1 SPO

Form · last six in Primera C

GENERAL LAMADRID

LDDDDL0–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

SPORTIVO BARRACAS

LWLLDL0–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lujan	31	+23	61
2	Canuelas	31	+17	58
3	Central Cordoba	31	+10	49
4	Deportivo Español	31	+9	49
5	Berazategui	31	+13	48
6	Leones de Rosario	31	+5	48
7	Centro Español	31	+14	47
8	Sacachispas	31	+6	47
9	Lugano	31	+7	46
10	Juventud Unida	31	+7	45
11	Estrella Del Sur	31	+2	45
12	Mercedes	31	+6	44
13	Victoriano Arenas	31	+5	44
14	General Lamadrid	31	−4	40
15	Sportivo Barracas	31	0	39
16	Central Ballester	31	−1	38
17	Puerto Nuevo	31	−7	38
18	Atletico Atlas	31	−4	37
19	El Porvenir	31	−5	37
20	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	−6	36
21	Yupanqui	31	−2	35
22	Fénix	31	−7	34
23	Claypole	31	−14	33
24	JJ Urquiza	31	−7	32
25	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	−16	32
26	Leandro N. Alem	31	−26	31
27	Deportivo Muñiz	31	−14	29
28	Argentino Rosario	31	−11	27