Estrella Del Sur v General Lamadrid
Estrella Del SurGeneral LamadridPrimera C · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Estrella Del Sur are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Estrella Del Sur 37%, draw 32%, General Lamadrid 31%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Estrella Del Sur win37%General Lamadrid win31%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:00
RoundRound of 16
Match timeline
All events
Estrella Del SurMINGeneral LamadridEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Estrella Del Sur
General Lamadrid
Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C
Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Estrella Del Sur a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella Del Sur win | 37% | 48% | −11 |
| Draw | 32% | 30% | +2 |
| General Lamadrid win | 31% | 22% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 36% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 41% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 18% | −3 |
| Estrella Del Sur or draw | 69% | 78% | −9 |
| Estrella Del Sur clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| General Lamadrid clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 12 Sept
ESTRELLA DEL SUR
GENERAL LAMADRID