Deportivo Muñiz v Claypole prediction · Primera C

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 21:35

Deportivo Muñiz 1–2 Claypole CLAYPOLE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Claypole win~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.593

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

Deportivo Muñiz win31%

Draw32%

Claypole win37%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Deportivo Muñiz

Claypole

6Days since last match6

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
23	Claypole	31	−14	33
27	Deportivo Muñiz	31	−14	29

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · claypole winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Claypole a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Muñiz win	31%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Claypole win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Deportivo Muñiz or draw	63%	–	–
Deportivo Muñiz clean sheet	34%	–	–
Claypole clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.3%

0123450 13.8 12.8 7.6 2.8 1 11.2 14.3 7.3 2.7 2 6.0 6.5 3.5 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Muñiz down, Claypole across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,493 Primera C matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera C matches have gone over 2.5 in 27.6% of games this season, across 434 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 1.60 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo Muñiz at home: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Claypole away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.97 goals for Deportivo Muñiz, 1.10 for Claypole. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~1.60

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~CLA 2–1 DEP · DEP 1–0 CLA · CLA 0–0 DEP · CLA 1–0 DEP

Form · last six in Primera C

DEPORTIVO MUÑIZ

LLDLWW0–4 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 2–1

CLAYPOLE

LLWWLD2–4 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lujan	31	+23	61
2	Canuelas	31	+17	58
3	Central Cordoba	31	+10	49
4	Deportivo Español	31	+9	49
5	Berazategui	31	+13	48
6	Leones de Rosario	31	+5	48
7	Centro Español	31	+14	47
8	Sacachispas	31	+6	47
9	Lugano	31	+7	46
10	Juventud Unida	31	+7	45
11	Estrella Del Sur	31	+2	45
12	Mercedes	31	+6	44
13	Victoriano Arenas	31	+5	44
14	General Lamadrid	31	−4	40
15	Sportivo Barracas	31	0	39
16	Central Ballester	31	−1	38
17	Puerto Nuevo	31	−7	38
18	Atletico Atlas	31	−4	37
19	El Porvenir	31	−5	37
20	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	−6	36
21	Yupanqui	31	−2	35
22	Fénix	31	−7	34
23	Claypole	31	−14	33
24	JJ Urquiza	31	−7	32
25	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	−16	32
26	Leandro N. Alem	31	−26	31
27	Deportivo Muñiz	31	−14	29
28	Argentino Rosario	31	−11	27