Deportivo Español v Victoriano Arenas
Deportivo EspañolVictoriano ArenasPrimera C · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Deportivo Español are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Español 47%, draw 35%, Victoriano Arenas 18%. Over 2.5 goals 23%, both teams to score 29%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Español win47%Victoriano Arenas win18%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:00
RoundRound of 16
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo EspañolMINVictoriano ArenasEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Español
Victoriano Arenas
Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C
Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Deportivo Español a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Español win | 47% | 42% | +5 |
| Draw | 35% | 32% | +3 |
| Victoriano Arenas win | 18% | 26% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 36% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 29% | 43% | −14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 49% | 61% | −12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 18% | −10 |
| Deportivo Español or draw | 82% | 74% | +8 |
| Deportivo Español clean sheet | 58% | – | – |
| Victoriano Arenas clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 10 Sept
DEPORTIVO ESPAÑOL
VICTORIANO ARENAS