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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Primera C › Centro Español v Central Cordoba

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Centro Español v Central Cordoba

Centro Español
18:00Upcoming
Central Cordoba

Primera C · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Centro EspañolDrawCentral Cordoba
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Centro Español 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Centro Español just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Centro Español 35%, draw 32%, Central Cordoba 33%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Centro Español v Central CordobaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Centro Español win35%
Draw32%
Central Cordoba win33%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 18:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Centro Español

Central Cordoba

9Days since last match9

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · centro español winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
35% The market35%
Us35%
Market35%

We make Centro Español a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.1–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Centro Español v Central Cordoba1.09 – 1.04
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 13 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1
The market · Centro Español win35% · ours 35%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 18 OCT 01:2325 OCT 00:41
Our probability · Centro Español win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Centro Español win35%35%0
Draw32%31%+1
Central Cordoba win33%34%−1
Over 2.5 goals36%38%−2
Both teams to score44%46%−2
Over 1.5 goals64%63%+1
Over 3.5 goals17%20%−3
Centro Español or draw67%66%+1
Centro Español clean sheet36%––
Central Cordoba clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.3%
0123450 13.1 11.4 6.5 2.3 1 11.9 14.3 6.9 2.4 2 7.0 7.2 3.8 3 2.6 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Centro Español down, Central Cordoba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.60
Over 2.51 of 5
Both scored1 of 5
Last meetingsCentral Cordoba 1–0 Centro Español · Centro Español 2–2 Central Cordoba · Central Cordoba 0–1 Centro Español · Centro Español 0–0 Central Cordoba

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 13 Sept

CENTRO ESPAÑOL

DLWWLL1–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

CENTRAL CORDOBA

WDWWLW3–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0