Berazategui v Lujan
BerazateguiLujanPrimera C · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Berazategui win at 39%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Berazategui v Lujan
- 2′Much as we predicted: Berazategui was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–32–29
- 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Berazategui win 34%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Berazategui 0–0 Lujan
- 46′SECOND HALF Berazategui 0–0 Lujan
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Berazategui win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 53′We said Berazategui at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–51–22
- 60′We said Berazategui at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Berazategui win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 70′We said Berazategui at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–66–15
- 76′We said Berazategui at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
- 82′We said Berazategui at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Berazategui win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 89′We said Berazategui at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
- FTFULL TIME Berazategui 0–0 Lujan
- FTBerazategui 0–0 Lujan · Berazategui win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassBerazategui are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Berazategui 39%, draw 32%, Lujan 29%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Berazategui win39%Lujan win29%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundFinal
Match timeline
All events
BerazateguiMINLujanEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Berazategui
Lujan
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera C
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Berazategui a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berazategui win | 39% | – | – |
| Draw | 32% | – | – |
| Lujan win | 29% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 42% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | – | – |
| Berazategui or draw | 71% | – | – |
| Berazategui clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Lujan clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 6 Sept
BERAZATEGUI
LUJAN