Argentino Rosario v Sacachispas prediction · Primera C

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 21:35

Argentino Rosario 0–1 Sacachispas ARGENTINO ROSARIO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Argentino Rosario win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.701

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Argentino Rosario win at 36%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Argentino Rosario 36% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–30–33
1′KICK-OFF Argentino Rosario v Sacachispas
2′Little has changed for our model: Argentino Rosario 36% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–30–32
45′HALF-TIME Argentino Rosario 0–0 Sacachispas
46′SECOND HALF Argentino Rosario 0–0 Sacachispas
72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Argentino Rosario 0–1 Sacachispas
FTFULL TIME Argentino Rosario 0–1 Sacachispas
FTArgentino Rosario 0–1 Sacachispas · Argentino Rosario win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

Argentino Rosario win36%

Draw32%

Sacachispas win32%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Argentino Rosario

Sacachispas

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Sacachispas	31	+6	47
28	Argentino Rosario	31	−11	27

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · argentino rosario winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Argentino Rosario a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Argentino Rosario win	36%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Sacachispas win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Argentino Rosario or draw	68%	–	–
Argentino Rosario clean sheet	37%	–	–
Sacachispas clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.3%

0123450 13.4 11.2 6.2 2.1 1 12.3 14.3 6.7 2.3 2 7.3 7.3 3.7 3 2.7 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Argentino Rosario down, Sacachispas across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,493 Primera C matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera C matches have gone over 2.5 in 27.6% of games this season, across 434 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Argentino Rosario at home: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sacachispas away: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Argentino Rosario, 1.01 for Sacachispas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SAC 1–0 ARG

Form · last six in Primera C

ARGENTINO ROSARIO

DDLDLW1–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 3–2

SACACHISPAS

WDLLLD2–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lujan	31	+23	61
2	Canuelas	31	+17	58
3	Central Cordoba	31	+10	49
4	Deportivo Español	31	+9	49
5	Berazategui	31	+13	48
6	Leones de Rosario	31	+5	48
7	Centro Español	31	+14	47
8	Sacachispas	31	+6	47
9	Lugano	31	+7	46
10	Juventud Unida	31	+7	45
11	Estrella Del Sur	31	+2	45
12	Mercedes	31	+6	44
13	Victoriano Arenas	31	+5	44
14	General Lamadrid	31	−4	40
15	Sportivo Barracas	31	0	39
16	Central Ballester	31	−1	38
17	Puerto Nuevo	31	−7	38
18	Atletico Atlas	31	−4	37
19	El Porvenir	31	−5	37
20	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	−6	36
21	Yupanqui	31	−2	35
22	Fénix	31	−7	34
23	Claypole	31	−14	33
24	JJ Urquiza	31	−7	32
25	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	−16	32
26	Leandro N. Alem	31	−26	31
27	Deportivo Muñiz	31	−14	29
28	Argentino Rosario	31	−11	27