Argentino Rosario v Deportivo Muñiz
Argentino RosarioDeportivo MuñizPrimera C · SUN 18 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. Argentino Rosario won 5–3 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Argentino Rosario win at 46%.
- 5′KICK-OFF Argentino Rosario v Deportivo Muñiz
- 6′Little has changed for our model: Argentino Rosario 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–31–24
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Argentino Rosario win 37%)
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Argentino Rosario win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Argentino Rosario 0–0 Deportivo Muñiz
- 46′SECOND HALF Argentino Rosario 0–0 Deportivo Muñiz
- 47′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–45–21
- 58′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Argentino Rosario win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 66′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–15
- 74′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–70–12
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Argentino Rosario win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 79′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
- 83′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Argentino Rosario win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 90′We said Argentino Rosario at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 54%. 0–0 · 28–54–18
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Argentino Rosario 0–0 Deportivo Muñiz after penalties
- FTArgentino Rosario 0–0 Deportivo Muñiz after 90 minutes, as graded · Argentino Rosario win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Argentino Rosario are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Argentino Rosario 46%, draw 30%, Deportivo Muñiz 24%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Argentino Rosario win46%Deportivo Muñiz win24%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 19:00
RoundFinal
Match timeline
All events
Argentino RosarioMINDeportivo MuñizEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Argentino Rosario
Deportivo Muñiz
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera C
Last match: 12 Oct · Primera C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Argentino Rosario a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Rosario win | 46% | 50% | −4 |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | +1 |
| Deportivo Muñiz win | 24% | 21% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 46% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 67% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 24% | −5 |
| Argentino Rosario or draw | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Argentino Rosario clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Deportivo Muñiz clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera C this season · since 5 Sept
ARGENTINO ROSARIO
DEPORTIVO MUÑIZ