Talleres Remedios v Dock Sud prediction · Primera B Metropolitana

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Talleres RemediosDrawDock Sud

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Talleres Remedios 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Talleres Remedios are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Talleres Remedios 49%, draw 32%, Dock Sud 19%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Talleres Remedios v Dock SudBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Talleres Remedios win49%

Draw32%

Dock Sud win19%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 41

VenueEstadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Talleres Remedios

Dock Sud

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera B Metropolitana

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Talleres Remedios	40	+16	68
14	Dock Sud	40	−4	47

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · talleres remedios winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:02 · locked at kick-off

49% The market58%

Us49%

~~Market~~58%

We make Talleres Remedios a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Talleres Remedios v Dock Sud~~1.30 – 0.70

~~Form · last six in Primera B Metropolitana this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 68 v 47~~4 v 14

~~The market · Talleres Remedios win~~58% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Talleres Remedios win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 49% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Talleres Remedios win	49%	58%	−9
Draw	32%	25%	+7
Dock Sud win	19%	17%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	32%	45%	−13
Both teams to score	38%	45%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	61%	69%	−8
Over 3.5 goals	14%	26%	−12
Talleres Remedios or draw	81%	83%	−2
Talleres Remedios clean sheet	50%	–	–
Dock Sud clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.8%

0123450 15.5 7.9 3.4 1 15.8 13.8 4.3 2 11.3 7.8 2.8 3 4.9 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Talleres Remedios down, Dock Sud across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,215 Primera B Metropolitana matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera B Metropolitana matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.0% of games this season, across 440 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Talleres Remedios at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Dock Sud away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Talleres Remedios, 0.70 for Dock Sud. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~5 of 5

~~Last meetings~~DOC 1–1 TAL · TAL 2–1 DOC · DOC 2–1 TAL · TAL 2–1 DOC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera B Metropolitana this season · since 12 Sept

TALLERES REMEDIOS

LDWLDL0–2 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–2

DOCK SUD

LDWLLL0–3 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Excursionistas	40	+33	78
2	Arsenal Sarandi	40	+27	73
3	Sportivo Italiano	40	+18	69
4	Talleres Remedios	40	+16	68
5	Deportivo Camioneros	40	+15	67
6	Villa Dalmine	40	+12	65
7	Deportivo Armenio	40	+4	62
8	Real Pilar	40	+3	62
9	Comunicaciones	40	+5	57
10	Deportivo Laferrere	40	−3	55
11	San Martín Burzaco	40	−4	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	−3	50
13	Deportivo Merlo	40	−14	48
14	Dock Sud	40	−4	47
15	Liniers	40	−8	45
16	Flandria	40	−12	45
17	Argentino de Merlo	40	−8	44
18	Argentino Quilmes	40	−8	44
19	Brown DE Adrogue	40	−12	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	−7	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	−13	39
22	Ituzaingó	40	−37	17